Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 13°C in London on March 22 (52% implied probability), driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs projecting mild conditions with a maximum around 13°C amid a high-pressure ridge influencing southern England. Recent developments, including yesterday's observed highs near 12°C and stable atmospheric patterns from GFS updates, reinforce this cluster, positioning 12°C (28%) and 14°C (20%) as strong contenders while downplaying extremes. March climatology averages 11-12°C at Heathrow, but an ongoing warm spell—fueled by southerly winds—elevates these odds, though short-range forecast uncertainty persists as cloud cover could shave 1-2°C. Key watch: Tonight's 00Z model refresh.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 22 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 22 de marzo?
13°C 52%
12°C 30.1%
14°C 18%
15°C 2.0%
$102,102 Vol.
$102,102 Vol.
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
30%
13°C
52%
14°C
18%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C o más
<1%
13°C 52%
12°C 30.1%
14°C 18%
15°C 2.0%
$102,102 Vol.
$102,102 Vol.
7°C o menos
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
30%
13°C
52%
14°C
18%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 18, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 13°C in London on March 22 (52% implied probability), driven by the latest Met Office and ECMWF model runs projecting mild conditions with a maximum around 13°C amid a high-pressure ridge influencing southern England. Recent developments, including yesterday's observed highs near 12°C and stable atmospheric patterns from GFS updates, reinforce this cluster, positioning 12°C (28%) and 14°C (20%) as strong contenders while downplaying extremes. March climatology averages 11-12°C at Heathrow, but an ongoing warm spell—fueled by southerly winds—elevates these odds, though short-range forecast uncertainty persists as cloud cover could shave 1-2°C. Key watch: Tonight's 00Z model refresh.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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