Trader sentiment on London's highest temperature March 25 centers on recent Met Office ensemble forecasts implying a peak near 9°C, with 30% market odds reflecting model consensus amid high spring variability. Probabilities spread across 8–11°C (83.5% combined) due to uncertain jet stream positioning, potentially ushering cooler northerly airflow or mild Atlantic highs; cloud cover and shower risks further temper maxima, as low-level instability limits diurnal heating. Historical March 25 averages hover at 11°C, but current geopotential height anomalies favor subdued warmth, boosting 8–9°C outcomes while capping 12°C+ at under 20%. Upcoming hourly updates from official monitors will sharpen resolution criteria tied to Heathrow observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 25 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 25 de marzo?
9°C 30%
10°C 21%
8°C 20%
11°C 19%
5°C o menos
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
7%
8°C
20%
9°C
30%
10°C
17%
11°C
19%
12°C
14%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C o más
1%
9°C 30%
10°C 21%
8°C 20%
11°C 19%
5°C o menos
1%
6°C
3%
7°C
7%
8°C
20%
9°C
30%
10°C
17%
11°C
19%
12°C
14%
13°C
4%
14°C
3%
15°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on London's highest temperature March 25 centers on recent Met Office ensemble forecasts implying a peak near 9°C, with 30% market odds reflecting model consensus amid high spring variability. Probabilities spread across 8–11°C (83.5% combined) due to uncertain jet stream positioning, potentially ushering cooler northerly airflow or mild Atlantic highs; cloud cover and shower risks further temper maxima, as low-level instability limits diurnal heating. Historical March 25 averages hover at 11°C, but current geopotential height anomalies favor subdued warmth, boosting 8–9°C outcomes while capping 12°C+ at under 20%. Upcoming hourly updates from official monitors will sharpen resolution criteria tied to Heathrow observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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