Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts point to a maximum temperature near 9°C in London on March 26, fueling the tight race between 9°C (31%) and 8°C (28.5%) as trader favorites, with 10°C at 17%. A persistent northerly airflow from a blocking high-pressure system over Scandinavia is delivering cooler, stable air masses, capping highs below seasonal norms of 10-11°C. Subtle differences arise from cloud cover variability and frontal timing: clearer skies could nudge toward 10°C, while increased low-level stratus favors 8°C. Historical data shows March 26 volatility (±2°C), and final model runs tomorrow may refine these market-implied odds amid 1-2°C ensemble spreads.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 26 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Londres el 26 de marzo?
9°C 31%
8°C 29%
10°C 18%
7°C 13%
3°C o menos
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
4%
6°C
9%
7°C
13%
8°C
29%
9°C
31%
10°C
18%
11°C
12%
12°C
4%
13°C o más
3%
9°C 31%
8°C 29%
10°C 18%
7°C 13%
3°C o menos
1%
4°C
1%
5°C
4%
6°C
9%
7°C
13%
8°C
29%
9°C
31%
10°C
18%
11°C
12%
12°C
4%
13°C o más
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts point to a maximum temperature near 9°C in London on March 26, fueling the tight race between 9°C (31%) and 8°C (28.5%) as trader favorites, with 10°C at 17%. A persistent northerly airflow from a blocking high-pressure system over Scandinavia is delivering cooler, stable air masses, capping highs below seasonal norms of 10-11°C. Subtle differences arise from cloud cover variability and frontal timing: clearer skies could nudge toward 10°C, while increased low-level stratus favors 8°C. Historical data shows March 26 volatility (±2°C), and final model runs tomorrow may refine these market-implied odds amid 1-2°C ensemble spreads.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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