Trader consensus heavily favors Denver's March 26 high temperature between 78-89°F, driven by NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models forecasting a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies, promoting dry downslope (Chinook-like) winds that amplify warming through adiabatic compression. Recent 12z runs refined peak highs to 82-85°F under clear skies maximizing solar insolation, with minimal cloud interference or prefrontal cooling. Differentiating factors include wind speeds above 15 mph boosting upper-80s potential versus lighter flow capping at 78-79°F; low soil moisture from prior dry spells aids rapid diurnal heating. Lower odds below 72°F reflect absent cold fronts, contrasting historical March averages near 58°F but aligning with frequent late-winter warm outliers. Evening model updates could shift the razor-thin spread among leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Denver on March 26?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 26?
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 26%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 17%
71°F or below
17%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
25%
90°F or higher
15%
86-87°F 32%
84-85°F 26%
88-89°F 18%
82-83°F 17%
71°F or below
17%
72-73°F
17%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
17%
78-79°F
17%
80-81°F
17%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
25%
90°F or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Denver International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDEN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/denver/KDENResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors Denver's March 26 high temperature between 78-89°F, driven by NOAA's GFS and ECMWF models forecasting a robust upper-level ridge over the Rockies, promoting dry downslope (Chinook-like) winds that amplify warming through adiabatic compression. Recent 12z runs refined peak highs to 82-85°F under clear skies maximizing solar insolation, with minimal cloud interference or prefrontal cooling. Differentiating factors include wind speeds above 15 mph boosting upper-80s potential versus lighter flow capping at 78-79°F; low soil moisture from prior dry spells aids rapid diurnal heating. Lower odds below 72°F reflect absent cold fronts, contrasting historical March averages near 58°F but aligning with frequent late-winter warm outliers. Evening model updates could shift the razor-thin spread among leading bins.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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