Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a Chongqing high of 20-21°C on March 22, driving trader consensus with 39.5% odds on 20°C and 34.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight model spread amid mild southerly flows. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying city readings by 1-2°C over rural baselines, variable afternoon cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 20°C, and diurnal ranges of 8-10°C influenced by the Yangtze River's moderating humidity. Historical March data from China Meteorological Administration shows averages of 19°C, with recent cold air intrusions fading, but low-confidence updates expected before resolution via official station measurements. This uncertainty keeps lower outcomes viable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 22?
20°C 38%
21°C 35%
22°C 8%
19°C 6.2%
$12,499 Vol.
$12,499 Vol.
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
38%
21°C
35%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 38%
21°C 35%
22°C 8%
19°C 6.2%
$12,499 Vol.
$12,499 Vol.
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
38%
21°C
35%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models like ECMWF and GFS point to a Chongqing high of 20-21°C on March 22, driving trader consensus with 39.5% odds on 20°C and 34.5% on 21°C, reflecting tight model spread amid mild southerly flows. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying city readings by 1-2°C over rural baselines, variable afternoon cloud cover potentially capping peaks at 20°C, and diurnal ranges of 8-10°C influenced by the Yangtze River's moderating humidity. Historical March data from China Meteorological Administration shows averages of 19°C, with recent cold air intrusions fading, but low-confidence updates expected before resolution via official station measurements. This uncertainty keeps lower outcomes viable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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