Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 at around 33°C, fueling trader consensus with 61% implied probability for 33°C or below amid mild seasonal norms for late March, when historical averages hover near 32-34°C based on long-term surface observations. Lower odds for 37°C (15%) and 34-36°C (each ~12-14%) reflect model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions, including light northerly winds suppressing heat advection from the plains, with no active heatwave signals per satellite-derived outgoing longwave radiation data. Any intraday spikes remain unlikely absent sudden clear skies, positioning cooler outcomes as frontrunners ahead of official airport readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 25 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Lucknow el 25 de marzo?
33°C o menos 50%
37°C 15%
35°C 13%
36°C 13%
33°C o menos
61%
34°C
13%
35°C
13%
36°C
13%
37°C
15%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
9%
43°C o más
1%
33°C o menos 50%
37°C 15%
35°C 13%
36°C 13%
33°C o menos
61%
34°C
13%
35°C
13%
36°C
13%
37°C
15%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C
9%
43°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 21, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts peg Lucknow's maximum temperature on March 25 at around 33°C, fueling trader consensus with 61% implied probability for 33°C or below amid mild seasonal norms for late March, when historical averages hover near 32-34°C based on long-term surface observations. Lower odds for 37°C (15%) and 34-36°C (each ~12-14%) reflect model agreement on stable atmospheric conditions, including light northerly winds suppressing heat advection from the plains, with no active heatwave signals per satellite-derived outgoing longwave radiation data. Any intraday spikes remain unlikely absent sudden clear skies, positioning cooler outcomes as frontrunners ahead of official airport readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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