Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a maximum temperature of 28°C or below in Lucknow on March 21 (68.5% implied probability), propelled by India Meteorological Department's latest forecasts projecting highs of 27-28°C under persistent cool northerly winds from western disturbances. March climatology typically sees averages around 30-32°C, but recent cold fronts, evident in GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, combined with cloudy skies and residual soil moisture from prior showers, cap warming potential. Yesterday's observed max of 26.8°C at Lucknow airport aligns with this trajectory, tempering bets on 29°C (21%) or 30°C (8%). Watch IMD's afternoon bulletin for final refinements ahead of official resolution via airport readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on March 21?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on March 21?
28°C or below 69%
29°C 21%
31°C 6.5%
30°C 4%
28°C or below
69%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
28°C or below 69%
29°C 21%
31°C 6.5%
30°C 4%
28°C or below
69%
29°C
21%
30°C
8%
31°C
6%
32°C
8%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors a maximum temperature of 28°C or below in Lucknow on March 21 (68.5% implied probability), propelled by India Meteorological Department's latest forecasts projecting highs of 27-28°C under persistent cool northerly winds from western disturbances. March climatology typically sees averages around 30-32°C, but recent cold fronts, evident in GFS and ECMWF ensemble models, combined with cloudy skies and residual soil moisture from prior showers, cap warming potential. Yesterday's observed max of 26.8°C at Lucknow airport aligns with this trajectory, tempering bets on 29°C (21%) or 30°C (8%). Watch IMD's afternoon bulletin for final refinements ahead of official resolution via airport readings.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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