Trader sentiment for Dallas's highest temperature on March 23 is split tightly between 80-81°F and 84°F or higher, driven by the latest NOAA ensemble forecasts centering outcomes around 81-84°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering southerly winds and warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiating factors include model divergences in peak diurnal heating—GFS runs lean hotter with clearer skies, while ECMWF variants predict lingering morning clouds capping highs nearer 80°F—against a March climatological average of 71°F. Soil moisture deficits amplify potential extremes, but uncertainty in convective timing keeps lower bins viable; monitor NWS hourly updates for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on March 23?
Highest temperature in Dallas on March 23?
84°F or higher 27%
80-81°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
78-79°F 13.4%
$19,538 Vol.
$19,538 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
27%
84°F or higher 27%
80-81°F 21%
82-83°F 19%
78-79°F 13.4%
$19,538 Vol.
$19,538 Vol.
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
13%
80-81°F
28%
82-83°F
19%
84°F or higher
27%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Dallas's highest temperature on March 23 is split tightly between 80-81°F and 84°F or higher, driven by the latest NOAA ensemble forecasts centering outcomes around 81-84°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over Texas fostering southerly winds and warm air advection from the Gulf of Mexico. Differentiating factors include model divergences in peak diurnal heating—GFS runs lean hotter with clearer skies, while ECMWF variants predict lingering morning clouds capping highs nearer 80°F—against a March climatological average of 71°F. Soil moisture deficits amplify potential extremes, but uncertainty in convective timing keeps lower bins viable; monitor NWS hourly updates for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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