Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 80-85°F highs for Miami on March 23, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a high near 83°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converge on this range, reflecting a building upper-level ridge amplifying warmth above the March climatological average of 79°F, though sea breeze timing introduces variability that differentiates 80-81°F (coastal moderation) from 84-85°F (inland peaks). Recent 00Z runs trimmed cooler outlier risks below 78°F, boosting mid-range odds amid low precipitation chances, but urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport could nudge the official reading upward by 1-2°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 23 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Miami el 23 de marzo?
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
78-79°F 18%
71°F o menos
3%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
10%
90°F o más
6%
80-81°F 22%
82-83°F 22%
84-85°F 20%
78-79°F 18%
71°F o menos
3%
72-73°F
8%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
20%
86-87°F
18%
88-89°F
10%
90°F o más
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts slightly toward 80-85°F highs for Miami on March 23, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast calling for a high near 83°F under partly sunny skies with light southerly winds. Ensemble models from GFS and ECMWF converge on this range, reflecting a building upper-level ridge amplifying warmth above the March climatological average of 79°F, though sea breeze timing introduces variability that differentiates 80-81°F (coastal moderation) from 84-85°F (inland peaks). Recent 00Z runs trimmed cooler outlier risks below 78°F, boosting mid-range odds amid low precipitation chances, but urban heat island effects at Miami International Airport could nudge the official reading upward by 1-2°F.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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