Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C (40.5%) in Tel Aviv on March 23, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating daytime peaks of 19-21°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with seasonal norms from the Israel Meteorological Service, where March averages hover around 20°C, supported by light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover enhancing solar heating to mid-afternoon maxima. Recent model updates show slight cooling from earlier warmer outlooks, trimming odds for 22°C+, while historical low variability in spring patterns caps extremes below 24°C or 14°C. Traders monitor hourly observations for intraday spikes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 23?
20°C 43%
21°C 22%
19°C 14%
22°C 8%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
14%
20°C
43%
21°C
22%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
3%
20°C 43%
21°C 22%
19°C 14%
22°C 8%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
8%
19°C
14%
20°C
43%
21°C
22%
22°C
8%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 19, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a highest temperature of 20°C (40.5%) in Tel Aviv on March 23, propelled by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating daytime peaks of 19-21°C amid a stable high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean. This aligns with seasonal norms from the Israel Meteorological Service, where March averages hover around 20°C, supported by light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover enhancing solar heating to mid-afternoon maxima. Recent model updates show slight cooling from earlier warmer outlooks, trimming odds for 22°C+, while historical low variability in spring patterns caps extremes below 24°C or 14°C. Traders monitor hourly observations for intraday spikes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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