Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 88-93°F ranges for Dallas's March 26 high temperature, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 89°F under a dominant upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies. Ensemble models show tight clustering—GFS 12z run at 91°F, ECMWF at 88°F—with divergences arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture deficits and afternoon convective inhibition, which could cap peaks at 88-89°F or push to 92-93°F via deeper mixing. Low antecedent soil moisture amplifies heat potential beyond the 73°F climatological average, though evening cloudiness risks tempering extremes; monitor 00z model refresh for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 26 de marzo?
90-91°F 27%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 22%
86-87°F 21%
79°F o menos
2%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
15%
96-97°F
11%
98°F o más
4%
90-91°F 27%
88-89°F 25%
92-93°F 22%
86-87°F 21%
79°F o menos
2%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
25%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
22%
94-95°F
15%
96-97°F
11%
98°F o más
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 88-93°F ranges for Dallas's March 26 high temperature, driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast pinpointing 89°F under a dominant upper-level ridge promoting subsidence warming and clear skies. Ensemble models show tight clustering—GFS 12z run at 91°F, ECMWF at 88°F—with divergences arising from subtle differences in boundary-layer moisture deficits and afternoon convective inhibition, which could cap peaks at 88-89°F or push to 92-93°F via deeper mixing. Low antecedent soil moisture amplifies heat potential beyond the 73°F climatological average, though evening cloudiness risks tempering extremes; monitor 00z model refresh for shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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