Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–16°C highs for Shanghai on March 27, reflecting ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models averaging 15°C amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring conditions. Recent 00Z model runs show a slight upward shift from prior cooler biases, with 16°C gaining edge from anticipated partly cloudy skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat island effects in the megacity. Cooler 14°C odds persist due to lingering northerly flow risks, while historical March 27 maxima average 14.2°C (1981–2010 baseline), underscoring low probabilities for extremes below 12°C or above 18°C given subdued jet stream influences and minimal cold front threats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 27 de marzo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Shanghái el 27 de marzo?
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 17%
11°C o menos
8%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
17%
18°C
15%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C o más
6%
14°C 27%
15°C 27%
16°C 27%
17°C 17%
11°C o menos
8%
12°C
17%
13°C
17%
14°C
27%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
17%
18°C
15%
19°C
6%
20°C
6%
21°C o más
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 14–16°C highs for Shanghai on March 27, reflecting ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models averaging 15°C amid a dominant high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring conditions. Recent 00Z model runs show a slight upward shift from prior cooler biases, with 16°C gaining edge from anticipated partly cloudy skies enhancing solar insolation and urban heat island effects in the megacity. Cooler 14°C odds persist due to lingering northerly flow risks, while historical March 27 maxima average 14.2°C (1981–2010 baseline), underscoring low probabilities for extremes below 12°C or above 18°C given subdued jet stream influences and minimal cold front threats.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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