Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? card icon

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

10%

chance

$30m Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? card icon

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

37%

chance

$3m Vol.

US strikes Iran by...? card icon

US strikes Iran by...?

January 18

13%

January 23

27%

January 18

13%

January 23

27%

$49m Vol.

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? card icon

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

32%

chance

$3m Vol.

Grizzlies

35%

Magic

66%

$1m Vol.

•NBA• 7:00 PM

Thunder

65%

Rockets

36%

$1m Vol.

•NBA•Tomorrow 12:30 AM

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? card icon

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

18%

chance

$9m Vol.

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? card icon

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

25%

chance

$10m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?

89%

Up

$44k Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

21%

Seattle

24%

Los Angeles R

21%

$675m Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election card icon

Portugal Presidential Election

António José Seguro (IND)

71%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

14%

António José Seguro (IND)

71%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

14%

$108m Vol.

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? card icon

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

11%

chance

$99k Vol.

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...? card icon

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

March 31

5%

May 14

9%

March 31

5%

May 14

9%

$416k Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Pam Bondi

31%

Kristi Noem

17%

Pam Bondi

31%

Kristi Noem

17%

$960k Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

43%

Kevin Hassett

34%

Kevin Warsh

43%

Kevin Hassett

34%

$186m Vol.

US next strikes Iran on...? card icon

US next strikes Iran on...?

January 15

3%

January 16

4%

January 15

3%

January 16

4%

$4m Vol.

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? card icon

Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?

73%

chance

$488k Vol.

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price card icon

Logan Paul’s Pikachu Illustrator Sale Price

>$4m

99%

>$5m

99%

>$4m

99%

>$5m

99%

$5m Vol.

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

50+ bps decrease

<1%

25 bps decrease

5%

$361m Vol.

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31? card icon

Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31?

29%

chance

$2m Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028 card icon

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

JD Vance

27%

Gavin Newsom

19%

$189m Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? card icon

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

42%

chance

$6m Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on January 15? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on January 15?

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

80,000

100%

82,000

100%

$4m Vol.

La Liga Winner card icon

La Liga Winner

Barcelona

68%

Real Madrid

30%

Barcelona

68%

Real Madrid

30%

$57m Vol.

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