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What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?

Market icon

What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?

$187,872 Vol.

Mar 3, 2026
Polymarket

$187,872 Vol.

Polymarket

Percent 7+ times

$22,295 Vol.

Yes

Tariff 6+ times

$10,225 Vol.

Yes

Biden 4+ times

$15,633 Vol.

No

NATO

$6,606 Vol.

Yes

European Union / EU

$10,528 Vol.

Yes

Fake News

$7,924 Vol.

No

Ripped / Ripping

$2,573 Vol.

No

Too Late

$5,117 Vol.

No

Stupid / Low IQ

$13,231 Vol.

Yes

Wind / Solar

$8,292 Vol.

Yes

Friend of Mine

$12,420 Vol.

Yes

France

$3,345 Vol.

No

Nuclear

$5,813 Vol.

Yes

Supreme Court

$4,106 Vol.

Yes

ICE / Border Patrol

$4,002 Vol.

No

Angela / Merkel

$3,583 Vol.

Yes

Iran

$18,148 Vol.

Yes

Cold / Colder

$2,800 Vol.

No

President Xi

$4,374 Vol.

No

Drone

$6,861 Vol.

No

Greenland

$6,297 Vol.

No

Auto

$9,223 Vol.

No

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$4,474 Vol.

No

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with Chancellor Merz of Germany on March 3, 2026 (see https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/296130249729874).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Chancellor Merz on March 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Chancellor Merz. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$187,872
End Date
Mar 3, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a meeting with Chancellor Merz of Germany on March 3, 2026 (see https://www.binance.com/en/square/post/296130249729874). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at events featuring Chancellor Merz on March 3, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about events featuring both Donald Trump and Chancellor Merz. All such events featuring both on this date count. Speeches, events, or comments which feature one named individual but not the other, will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Percent 7+ times" at 100%, followed by "Tariff 6+ times" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?" has generated $187.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?" is "Percent 7+ times" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tariff 6+ times" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say during events with Chancellor Merz on March 3?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.