2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

19%

Democrats 6-8%

$2.2K Vol.

$33.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

27%

$165 Vol.

$12.8K Liq.

1

Ends in over 2 years

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?

1%

March 31

$24.5K Vol.

$5.4K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

77%

$0 Vol.

$6.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Blue wave in 2026?

Blue wave in 2026?

78%

$27.0K Vol.

$9.0K Liq.

4

Ends in 8 months

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

45%

$0 Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

Scotland Parliamentary Election Winner

97%

Scottish National Party

$1M Vol.

$53.3K today

$103K Liq.

10

Ends in about 1 month

Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner

Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner

99%

Freedom Movement (GS)

$4M Vol.

$53.3K Liq.

152

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner

89%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)

$845K Vol.

$118K Liq.

7

Ends in 6 months

Texas Senate Election Winner

Texas Senate Election Winner

54%

Republican

$149K Vol.

$66.5K Liq.

7

Ends in 7 months

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

77%

Republican

$89.3K Vol.

$34.2K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 months

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

81%

Freedom Movement (GS)

$91.8K Vol.

$46.8K Liq.

4

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

Which parties will be part of the next Government of Denmark?

98%

Social Democrats

$17.9K Vol.

$18.3K Liq.

3

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Ohio Senate Election Winner

55%

Democrat

$59.7K Vol.

$47.2K Liq.

6

Ends in 7 months

Illinois Senate Election Winner

Illinois Senate Election Winner

92%

Democrat

$16.8K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

57%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$806K Liq.

61

Ends in over 2 years

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Georgia Senate Election Winner

83%

Democrat

$11.5K Vol.

$42.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Kentucky Senate Election Winner

Kentucky Senate Election Winner

91%

Republican

$1.3K Vol.

$15.1K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

Wales Parliamentary Election Winner

81%

Plaid Cymru

$19.1K Vol.

$40.2K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

76%

Democrat

$15.6K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Democrats.

Polymarket currently hosts 259 active markets for Democrats that lets you track or trade on predictions like “2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $8.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Slovenian Parliamentary Election Winner,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to Freedom Movement (GS). These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Democrats predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.