Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 80.5% probability of a Republican victory in the South Carolina Senate race, driven by incumbent Lindsey Graham's established advantages in the deep-red state, including strong fundraising, party infrastructure, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls. October surveys, such as RMG Research's 52%-36% edge over Democrat Annie Andrews, reinforce this positioning amid national Republican momentum from the presidential contest and high GOP turnout expectations. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, with Graham facing minimal opposition after cruising through the June primary; the race awaits November 5 election night results, barring late surprises like scandals or turnout anomalies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$13,289 交易量
$13,289 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
81%
民主党
20%
$13,289 交易量
$13,289 交易量
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$5,439 交易量
81%
民主党
$7,850 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 80.5% probability of a Republican victory in the South Carolina Senate race, driven by incumbent Lindsey Graham's established advantages in the deep-red state, including strong fundraising, party infrastructure, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls. October surveys, such as RMG Research's 52%-36% edge over Democrat Annie Andrews, reinforce this positioning amid national Republican momentum from the presidential contest and high GOP turnout expectations. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, with Graham facing minimal opposition after cruising through the June primary; the race awaits November 5 election night results, barring late surprises like scandals or turnout anomalies.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
交易量
$13,289结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 80.5% probability of a Republican victory in the South Carolina Senate race, driven by incumbent Lindsey Graham's established advantages in the deep-red state, including strong fundraising, party infrastructure, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls. October surveys, such as RMG Research's 52%-36% edge over Democrat Annie Andrews, reinforce this positioning amid national Republican momentum from the presidential contest and high GOP turnout expectations. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, with Graham facing minimal opposition after cruising through the June primary; the race awaits November 5 election night results, barring late surprises like scandals or turnout anomalies.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$13,289结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies an 80.5% probability of a Republican victory in the South Carolina Senate race, driven by incumbent Lindsey Graham's established advantages in the deep-red state, including strong fundraising, party infrastructure, and consistent double-digit leads in recent polls. October surveys, such as RMG Research's 52%-36% edge over Democrat Annie Andrews, reinforce this positioning amid national Republican momentum from the presidential contest and high GOP turnout expectations. No major shifts have occurred in the past 30 days, with Graham facing minimal opposition after cruising through the June primary; the race awaits November 5 election night results, barring late surprises like scandals or turnout anomalies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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