Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff commands early polling leads over a fragmented Republican primary field, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 81.5% for the Georgia Senate seat. Emerson College's March poll of likely voters showed Ossoff ahead 48-43% against Rep. Mike Collins, 47-44% versus Rep. Buddy Carter, and 49-41% over Derek Dooley, with Collins leading a crowded GOP primary at 30% amid 40% undecided. A Politico report two days ago detailed Republican infighting, absent Trump endorsement, and likely May 19 primary runoff risks into June 16, hampering unification against Ossoff's $24 million war chest and no primary challenge. While some ratings like Inside Elections' recent Tilt Republican diverge, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Ossoff's incumbency in this battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$20,386 交易量
$20,386 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
82%
共和党
18%
$20,386 交易量
$20,386 交易量
2026-11-03
民主党
$7,771 交易量
82%
共和党
$12,616 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff commands early polling leads over a fragmented Republican primary field, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 81.5% for the Georgia Senate seat. Emerson College's March poll of likely voters showed Ossoff ahead 48-43% against Rep. Mike Collins, 47-44% versus Rep. Buddy Carter, and 49-41% over Derek Dooley, with Collins leading a crowded GOP primary at 30% amid 40% undecided. A Politico report two days ago detailed Republican infighting, absent Trump endorsement, and likely May 19 primary runoff risks into June 16, hampering unification against Ossoff's $24 million war chest and no primary challenge. While some ratings like Inside Elections' recent Tilt Republican diverge, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Ossoff's incumbency in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$20,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff commands early polling leads over a fragmented Republican primary field, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 81.5% for the Georgia Senate seat. Emerson College's March poll of likely voters showed Ossoff ahead 48-43% against Rep. Mike Collins, 47-44% versus Rep. Buddy Carter, and 49-41% over Derek Dooley, with Collins leading a crowded GOP primary at 30% amid 40% undecided. A Politico report two days ago detailed Republican infighting, absent Trump endorsement, and likely May 19 primary runoff risks into June 16, hampering unification against Ossoff's $24 million war chest and no primary challenge. While some ratings like Inside Elections' recent Tilt Republican diverge, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Ossoff's incumbency in this battleground.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Georgia U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$20,386结束日期
2026-11-03市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff commands early polling leads over a fragmented Republican primary field, driving trader consensus to price Democrats at 81.5% for the Georgia Senate seat. Emerson College's March poll of likely voters showed Ossoff ahead 48-43% against Rep. Mike Collins, 47-44% versus Rep. Buddy Carter, and 49-41% over Derek Dooley, with Collins leading a crowded GOP primary at 30% amid 40% undecided. A Politico report two days ago detailed Republican infighting, absent Trump endorsement, and likely May 19 primary runoff risks into June 16, hampering unification against Ossoff's $24 million war chest and no primary challenge. While some ratings like Inside Elections' recent Tilt Republican diverge, markets reflect skin-in-the-game bets on Ossoff's incumbency in this battleground.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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