Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper maintains a commanding double-digit lead over Republican Jeff Hurd in the latest polls, such as RMG Research's October survey showing 51%-39%, driving trader consensus to 92% implied probability for a Democratic hold in Colorado's Senate race. This positioning stems from Colorado's consistent left-leaning electoral trends, Hickenlooper's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority, and Hurd's struggles to consolidate GOP support amid national headwinds for Republicans. Recent developments include steady polling averages with no narrowing and minimal campaign shifts in the past week. While a dramatic Republican national wave, Hickenlooper scandal, or surge in GOP turnout could challenge this, such scenarios face steep barriers with the November 5 election approaching.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
92%
共和党
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
民主党
$2,958 交易量
92%
共和党
$0 交易量
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper maintains a commanding double-digit lead over Republican Jeff Hurd in the latest polls, such as RMG Research's October survey showing 51%-39%, driving trader consensus to 92% implied probability for a Democratic hold in Colorado's Senate race. This positioning stems from Colorado's consistent left-leaning electoral trends, Hickenlooper's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority, and Hurd's struggles to consolidate GOP support amid national headwinds for Republicans. Recent developments include steady polling averages with no narrowing and minimal campaign shifts in the past week. While a dramatic Republican national wave, Hickenlooper scandal, or surge in GOP turnout could challenge this, such scenarios face steep barriers with the November 5 election approaching.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
交易量
$2,958结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper maintains a commanding double-digit lead over Republican Jeff Hurd in the latest polls, such as RMG Research's October survey showing 51%-39%, driving trader consensus to 92% implied probability for a Democratic hold in Colorado's Senate race. This positioning stems from Colorado's consistent left-leaning electoral trends, Hickenlooper's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority, and Hurd's struggles to consolidate GOP support amid national headwinds for Republicans. Recent developments include steady polling averages with no narrowing and minimal campaign shifts in the past week. While a dramatic Republican national wave, Hickenlooper scandal, or surge in GOP turnout could challenge this, such scenarios face steep barriers with the November 5 election approaching.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Colorado U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$2,958结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat John Hickenlooper maintains a commanding double-digit lead over Republican Jeff Hurd in the latest polls, such as RMG Research's October survey showing 51%-39%, driving trader consensus to 92% implied probability for a Democratic hold in Colorado's Senate race. This positioning stems from Colorado's consistent left-leaning electoral trends, Hickenlooper's incumbency advantage, fundraising superiority, and Hurd's struggles to consolidate GOP support amid national headwinds for Republicans. Recent developments include steady polling averages with no narrowing and minimal campaign shifts in the past week. While a dramatic Republican national wave, Hickenlooper scandal, or surge in GOP turnout could challenge this, such scenarios face steep barriers with the November 5 election approaching.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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