Roy Cooper maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race as the Democratic nominee against Republican Michael Whatley for the open seat vacated by Thom Tillis. Recent polling averages, including surveys from Carolina Journal, Elon University, and others conducted in July and August 2026, show Cooper ahead by 7 to 13 points among likely voters, reflecting his established statewide profile from multiple prior victories and broad appeal in a competitive state. Whatley secured the Republican nomination with strong primary support and a Trump endorsement but trails consistently in head-to-head matchups. Trader consensus on Polymarket pricing aligns with these trends, assigning high implied probability to Cooper while leaving room for shifts from factors such as late-campaign developments, turnout variations, or national political dynamics in the final months before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$89,231 交易量
$89,231 交易量

罗伊·库珀(民主党)
93%

迈克尔·沃特利(共和党)
9%
$89,231 交易量
$89,231 交易量

罗伊·库珀(民主党)
93%

迈克尔·沃特利(共和党)
9%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Roy Cooper maintains a commanding lead in the 2026 North Carolina Senate race as the Democratic nominee against Republican Michael Whatley for the open seat vacated by Thom Tillis. Recent polling averages, including surveys from Carolina Journal, Elon University, and others conducted in July and August 2026, show Cooper ahead by 7 to 13 points among likely voters, reflecting his established statewide profile from multiple prior victories and broad appeal in a competitive state. Whatley secured the Republican nomination with strong primary support and a Trump endorsement but trails consistently in head-to-head matchups. Trader consensus on Polymarket pricing aligns with these trends, assigning high implied probability to Cooper while leaving room for shifts from factors such as late-campaign developments, turnout variations, or national political dynamics in the final months before the November 3 election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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