Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) holds a commanding 89% implied probability on Polymarket as the leading outcome to secure the most seats in Sweden's proportional representation Riksdag election on September 13, 2026, reflecting consistent polling averages of 31-33%—roughly double nearest rivals Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%. Late March polls from Indikator Opinion (33.4% S), Demoskop (31.1%), and others confirm S's stable lead amid minor fluctuations, bolstered by strong working-class support and the centre-right Tidö government's incumbency struggles. Recent developments include Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening formal governance ties with SD post-election and Liberals' March pact with SD to unify the right bloc, yet these have not shifted voter intentions in fresh surveys. Traders price low odds for challengers given historical polling accuracy and the 4% threshold dynamics, though economic shifts or campaign momentum could alter trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于瑞典社会民主工人党（S） 89%
瑞典民主党（SD） 4.8%
瑞典温和党（M） 4.1%
中间党 (C) <1%
$1,066,693 交易量
$1,066,693 交易量
2026-09-13
瑞典社会民主工人党（S）
89%
瑞典民主党（SD）
5%
瑞典温和党（M）
4%
中间党 (C)
1%
左翼党（V）
1%
基督教民主党 (KD)
<1%
绿党（MP）
<1%
公民联盟（MED）
<1%
自由党（L）
<1%
瑞典社会民主工人党（S） 89%
瑞典民主党（SD） 4.8%
瑞典温和党（M） 4.1%
中间党 (C) <1%
$1,066,693 交易量
$1,066,693 交易量
2026-09-13
瑞典社会民主工人党（S）
$27,784 交易量
89%
瑞典民主党（SD）
$507,055 交易量
5%
瑞典温和党（M）
$374,931 交易量
4%
中间党 (C)
$15,711 交易量
1%
左翼党（V）
$14,016 交易量
1%
基督教民主党 (KD)
$13,417 交易量
<1%
绿党（MP）
$87,706 交易量
<1%
公民联盟（MED）
$12,563 交易量
<1%
自由党（L）
$13,511 交易量
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) holds a commanding 89% implied probability on Polymarket as the leading outcome to secure the most seats in Sweden's proportional representation Riksdag election on September 13, 2026, reflecting consistent polling averages of 31-33%—roughly double nearest rivals Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%. Late March polls from Indikator Opinion (33.4% S), Demoskop (31.1%), and others confirm S's stable lead amid minor fluctuations, bolstered by strong working-class support and the centre-right Tidö government's incumbency struggles. Recent developments include Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening formal governance ties with SD post-election and Liberals' March pact with SD to unify the right bloc, yet these have not shifted voter intentions in fresh surveys. Traders price low odds for challengers given historical polling accuracy and the 4% threshold dynamics, though economic shifts or campaign momentum could alter trajectories.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
市场开放时间： Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
交易量
$1,066,693结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) holds a commanding 89% implied probability on Polymarket as the leading outcome to secure the most seats in Sweden's proportional representation Riksdag election on September 13, 2026, reflecting consistent polling averages of 31-33%—roughly double nearest rivals Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%. Late March polls from Indikator Opinion (33.4% S), Demoskop (31.1%), and others confirm S's stable lead amid minor fluctuations, bolstered by strong working-class support and the centre-right Tidö government's incumbency struggles. Recent developments include Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening formal governance ties with SD post-election and Liberals' March pact with SD to unify the right bloc, yet these have not shifted voter intentions in fresh surveys. Traders price low odds for challengers given historical polling accuracy and the 4% threshold dynamics, though economic shifts or campaign momentum could alter trajectories.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition which received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Swedish Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
交易量
$1,066,693结束日期
2026-09-13市场开放时间
Dec 4, 2025, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) holds a commanding 89% implied probability on Polymarket as the leading outcome to secure the most seats in Sweden's proportional representation Riksdag election on September 13, 2026, reflecting consistent polling averages of 31-33%—roughly double nearest rivals Sweden Democrats (SD) at 20-21% and Moderates (M) at 17-18%. Late March polls from Indikator Opinion (33.4% S), Demoskop (31.1%), and others confirm S's stable lead amid minor fluctuations, bolstered by strong working-class support and the centre-right Tidö government's incumbency struggles. Recent developments include Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's April 1 announcement opening formal governance ties with SD post-election and Liberals' March pact with SD to unify the right bloc, yet these have not shifted voter intentions in fresh surveys. Traders price low odds for challengers given historical polling accuracy and the 4% threshold dynamics, though economic shifts or campaign momentum could alter trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题