Oklahoma's deeply Republican political landscape, with GOP supermajorities in the legislature and no Democratic statewide victory since 2006, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican gubernatorial winner at 92% ahead of the November 3 general election. Term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt leaves an open seat, but the crowded Republican primary on June 16—finalized last week with 15 candidates—features polls showing Attorney General Gentner Drummond leading at 36%, while prediction markets reflect a recent Mazzei surge to 33% amid his ad blitz. Democrats, led by House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson, trail far behind in a race rated Safe Republican by forecasters. A post-primary GOP nominee scandal, exceptionally low Republican turnout, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the GOP.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$16,161 交易量
$16,161 交易量

共和党
92%

民主党
7%
$16,161 交易量
$16,161 交易量

共和党
92%

民主党
7%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间: Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's deeply Republican political landscape, with GOP supermajorities in the legislature and no Democratic statewide victory since 2006, underpins trader consensus pricing a Republican gubernatorial winner at 92% ahead of the November 3 general election. Term-limited incumbent Kevin Stitt leaves an open seat, but the crowded Republican primary on June 16—finalized last week with 15 candidates—features polls showing Attorney General Gentner Drummond leading at 36%, while prediction markets reflect a recent Mazzei surge to 33% amid his ad blitz. Democrats, led by House Minority Leader Cyndi Munson, trail far behind in a race rated Safe Republican by forecasters. A post-primary GOP nominee scandal, exceptionally low Republican turnout, or national Democratic wave could shift odds, though historical precedents favor the GOP.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题