With incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis term-limited, Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race favors the GOP per trader consensus, driven by a growing Republican voter registration edge and recent polls showing single-digit leads for leading candidates like Rep. Byron Donalds over Democrats David Jolly and Jerry Demings. A March UNF survey had Donalds ahead 42-43% to 36%, while another poll pegged him up 6-7 points, amid high undecideds and low Democratic name recognition. Donalds leads the crowded Republican primary field at 44% per late February data, buoyed by party momentum in this battleground-turned-red state ahead of the August 18 primary and November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
81%
民主党
17%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 交易量
81%
民主党
$0 交易量
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis term-limited, Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race favors the GOP per trader consensus, driven by a growing Republican voter registration edge and recent polls showing single-digit leads for leading candidates like Rep. Byron Donalds over Democrats David Jolly and Jerry Demings. A March UNF survey had Donalds ahead 42-43% to 36%, while another poll pegged him up 6-7 points, amid high undecideds and low Democratic name recognition. Donalds leads the crowded Republican primary field at 44% per late February data, buoyed by party momentum in this battleground-turned-red state ahead of the August 18 primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.With incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis term-limited, Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race favors the GOP per trader consensus, driven by a growing Republican voter registration edge and recent polls showing single-digit leads for leading candidates like Rep. Byron Donalds over Democrats David Jolly and Jerry Demings. A March UNF survey had Donalds ahead 42-43% to 36%, while another poll pegged him up 6-7 points, amid high undecideds and low Democratic name recognition. Donalds leads the crowded Republican primary field at 44% per late February data, buoyed by party momentum in this battleground-turned-red state ahead of the August 18 primary and November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$0结束日期
Nov 3, 2026市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With incumbent Republican Ron DeSantis term-limited, Florida's open 2026 gubernatorial race favors the GOP per trader consensus, driven by a growing Republican voter registration edge and recent polls showing single-digit leads for leading candidates like Rep. Byron Donalds over Democrats David Jolly and Jerry Demings. A March UNF survey had Donalds ahead 42-43% to 36%, while another poll pegged him up 6-7 points, amid high undecideds and low Democratic name recognition. Donalds leads the crowded Republican primary field at 44% per late February data, buoyed by party momentum in this battleground-turned-red state ahead of the August 18 primary and November general election.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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