Incumbent Republican Sen. Ashley Moody's consistent polling leads over Democratic challengers like Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 80.5%, reflecting Florida's deepening Republican dominance following Donald Trump's 2024 landslide. Recent surveys, including Stetson University's late-April poll showing Moody ahead 49%-42% against Vindman and Echelon Insights' early-April results with a 50%-43% edge, have reinforced this positioning amid a weak Democratic field and the state's rightward electoral math. No major shifts have emerged in the past 30 days, with GOP generic ballot advantages persisting; primaries on August 18 and the general election in November loom as key tests, though structural barriers like incumbency and turnout favor Republicans.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$36,219 交易量
$36,219 交易量
共和党
81%
民主党
18%
$36,219 交易量
$36,219 交易量
共和党
$19,075 交易量
81%
民主党
$17,144 交易量
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Ashley Moody's consistent polling leads over Democratic challengers like Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 80.5%, reflecting Florida's deepening Republican dominance following Donald Trump's 2024 landslide. Recent surveys, including Stetson University's late-April poll showing Moody ahead 49%-42% against Vindman and Echelon Insights' early-April results with a 50%-43% edge, have reinforced this positioning amid a weak Democratic field and the state's rightward electoral math. No major shifts have emerged in the past 30 days, with GOP generic ballot advantages persisting; primaries on August 18 and the general election in November loom as key tests, though structural barriers like incumbency and turnout favor Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$36,219市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Ashley Moody's consistent polling leads over Democratic challengers like Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 80.5%, reflecting Florida's deepening Republican dominance following Donald Trump's 2024 landslide. Recent surveys, including Stetson University's late-April poll showing Moody ahead 49%-42% against Vindman and Echelon Insights' early-April results with a 50%-43% edge, have reinforced this positioning amid a weak Democratic field and the state's rightward electoral math. No major shifts have emerged in the past 30 days, with GOP generic ballot advantages persisting; primaries on August 18 and the general election in November loom as key tests, though structural barriers like incumbency and turnout favor Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$36,219市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Ashley Moody's consistent polling leads over Democratic challengers like Alexander Vindman and Angie Nixon underpin trader consensus favoring a GOP victory at 80.5%, reflecting Florida's deepening Republican dominance following Donald Trump's 2024 landslide. Recent surveys, including Stetson University's late-April poll showing Moody ahead 49%-42% against Vindman and Echelon Insights' early-April results with a 50%-43% edge, have reinforced this positioning amid a weak Democratic field and the state's rightward electoral math. No major shifts have emerged in the past 30 days, with GOP generic ballot advantages persisting; primaries on August 18 and the general election in November loom as key tests, though structural barriers like incumbency and turnout favor Republicans.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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