Florida's Republican lean and Ashley Moody's status as the appointed incumbent drive trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome at 81 percent. Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis to complete Marco Rubio's term, benefits from statewide name recognition as former attorney general and the state's recent voting patterns. Democratic contenders, including Alex Vindman, face structural challenges in a state where Republicans have held consistent advantages in Senate races. May 2026 polls show Moody ahead by 3 to 8 points in most matchups, though margins vary. Primaries on August 18 and the November 3 general election leave room for shifts tied to turnout, primary results, and national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$38,777 交易量
$38,777 交易量
共和党
81%
民主党
20%
$38,777 交易量
$38,777 交易量
共和党
$20,136 交易量
81%
民主党
$18,640 交易量
20%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican lean and Ashley Moody's status as the appointed incumbent drive trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome at 81 percent. Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis to complete Marco Rubio's term, benefits from statewide name recognition as former attorney general and the state's recent voting patterns. Democratic contenders, including Alex Vindman, face structural challenges in a state where Republicans have held consistent advantages in Senate races. May 2026 polls show Moody ahead by 3 to 8 points in most matchups, though margins vary. Primaries on August 18 and the November 3 general election leave room for shifts tied to turnout, primary results, and national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$38,777市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican lean and Ashley Moody's status as the appointed incumbent drive trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome at 81 percent. Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis to complete Marco Rubio's term, benefits from statewide name recognition as former attorney general and the state's recent voting patterns. Democratic contenders, including Alex Vindman, face structural challenges in a state where Republicans have held consistent advantages in Senate races. May 2026 polls show Moody ahead by 3 to 8 points in most matchups, though margins vary. Primaries on August 18 and the November 3 general election leave room for shifts tied to turnout, primary results, and national conditions.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$38,777市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's Republican lean and Ashley Moody's status as the appointed incumbent drive trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome at 81 percent. Moody, selected by Governor Ron DeSantis to complete Marco Rubio's term, benefits from statewide name recognition as former attorney general and the state's recent voting patterns. Democratic contenders, including Alex Vindman, face structural challenges in a state where Republicans have held consistent advantages in Senate races. May 2026 polls show Moody ahead by 3 to 8 points in most matchups, though margins vary. Primaries on August 18 and the November 3 general election leave room for shifts tied to turnout, primary results, and national conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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