Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott maintains a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the latest polls, with aggregates showing him ahead by 5–10 points as of early October 2024, driving trader consensus to 87% for a Republican win in this battleground state Senate race. Florida's rightward shift since 2020, bolstered by strong GOP turnout in swing areas and President Trump's expected coattails on November 5 election night, underpins the lopsided odds despite Mucarsel-Powell's fundraising edge and attacks on Scott's age and past business dealings. Recent developments, including a October 24 debate where Scott held firm on border security and economy issues without major gaffes, and post-Hurricane Milton recovery efforts highlighting Gov. DeSantis's approval, have solidified the incumbent's path to victory amid stable polling averages. Traders eye early voting trends and any late October surprises as potential catalysts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$18,501 交易量
$18,501 交易量
共和党
87%
民主党
14%
$18,501 交易量
$18,501 交易量
共和党
$10,201 交易量
87%
民主党
$8,299 交易量
14%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott maintains a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the latest polls, with aggregates showing him ahead by 5–10 points as of early October 2024, driving trader consensus to 87% for a Republican win in this battleground state Senate race. Florida's rightward shift since 2020, bolstered by strong GOP turnout in swing areas and President Trump's expected coattails on November 5 election night, underpins the lopsided odds despite Mucarsel-Powell's fundraising edge and attacks on Scott's age and past business dealings. Recent developments, including a October 24 debate where Scott held firm on border security and economy issues without major gaffes, and post-Hurricane Milton recovery efforts highlighting Gov. DeSantis's approval, have solidified the incumbent's path to victory amid stable polling averages. Traders eye early voting trends and any late October surprises as potential catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$18,501市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott maintains a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the latest polls, with aggregates showing him ahead by 5–10 points as of early October 2024, driving trader consensus to 87% for a Republican win in this battleground state Senate race. Florida's rightward shift since 2020, bolstered by strong GOP turnout in swing areas and President Trump's expected coattails on November 5 election night, underpins the lopsided odds despite Mucarsel-Powell's fundraising edge and attacks on Scott's age and past business dealings. Recent developments, including a October 24 debate where Scott held firm on border security and economy issues without major gaffes, and post-Hurricane Milton recovery efforts highlighting Gov. DeSantis's approval, have solidified the incumbent's path to victory amid stable polling averages. Traders eye early voting trends and any late October surprises as potential catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$18,501市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Rick Scott maintains a commanding lead over Democratic challenger Debbie Mucarsel-Powell in the latest polls, with aggregates showing him ahead by 5–10 points as of early October 2024, driving trader consensus to 87% for a Republican win in this battleground state Senate race. Florida's rightward shift since 2020, bolstered by strong GOP turnout in swing areas and President Trump's expected coattails on November 5 election night, underpins the lopsided odds despite Mucarsel-Powell's fundraising edge and attacks on Scott's age and past business dealings. Recent developments, including a October 24 debate where Scott held firm on border security and economy issues without major gaffes, and post-Hurricane Milton recovery efforts highlighting Gov. DeSantis's approval, have solidified the incumbent's path to victory amid stable polling averages. Traders eye early voting trends and any late October surprises as potential catalysts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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