Florida's special U.S. Senate race features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking a full term against the Democratic nominee, likely Alex Vindman following the August 18 primary. Moody maintains consistent polling leads of 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting the state's Republican tilt evident in recent presidential results. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns an 87% implied probability to a GOP victory. Key influences include Moody's incumbency advantage, fundraising and name recognition, and limited evidence of Democratic momentum despite Vindman's profile. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from primary outcomes or late developments, though current data show stable positioning favoring the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$67,151 交易量
$67,151 交易量
共和党
87%
民主党
13%
$67,151 交易量
$67,151 交易量
共和党
$37,551 交易量
87%
民主党
$29,600 交易量
13%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special U.S. Senate race features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking a full term against the Democratic nominee, likely Alex Vindman following the August 18 primary. Moody maintains consistent polling leads of 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting the state's Republican tilt evident in recent presidential results. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns an 87% implied probability to a GOP victory. Key influences include Moody's incumbency advantage, fundraising and name recognition, and limited evidence of Democratic momentum despite Vindman's profile. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from primary outcomes or late developments, though current data show stable positioning favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市场开放时间： Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$67,151市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's special U.S. Senate race features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking a full term against the Democratic nominee, likely Alex Vindman following the August 18 primary. Moody maintains consistent polling leads of 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting the state's Republican tilt evident in recent presidential results. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns an 87% implied probability to a GOP victory. Key influences include Moody's incumbency advantage, fundraising and name recognition, and limited evidence of Democratic momentum despite Vindman's profile. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from primary outcomes or late developments, though current data show stable positioning favoring the Republican outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida U.S. Senate election special election currently scheduled for November 3, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$67,151市场开放时间
Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's special U.S. Senate race features appointed Republican incumbent Ashley Moody seeking a full term against the Democratic nominee, likely Alex Vindman following the August 18 primary. Moody maintains consistent polling leads of 7–10 points in general-election matchups, reflecting the state's Republican tilt evident in recent presidential results. Forecasters rate the contest Likely or Solid Republican, consistent with trader pricing that assigns an 87% implied probability to a GOP victory. Key influences include Moody's incumbency advantage, fundraising and name recognition, and limited evidence of Democratic momentum despite Vindman's profile. The November 3 general election timeline leaves room for shifts from primary outcomes or late developments, though current data show stable positioning favoring the Republican outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题