Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, removed from office by the Constitutional Court in April 2025 following his impeachment over the short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, faces a life sentence handed down by a Seoul court in February 2026 for leading an insurrection. This conviction, atop a prior five-year term for abuse of power and resisting arrest, has solidified his detention, with prosecutors securing extended warrants amid ongoing trials. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects the formidable legal barriers—appeals process, lack of pardon prospects under the current administration, and no recent procedural reversals—making release before 2027 highly improbable absent extraordinary interventions like health crises or political shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
是
最新
最新
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, removed from office by the Constitutional Court in April 2025 following his impeachment over the short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, faces a life sentence handed down by a Seoul court in February 2026 for leading an insurrection. This conviction, atop a prior five-year term for abuse of power and resisting arrest, has solidified his detention, with prosecutors securing extended warrants amid ongoing trials. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects the formidable legal barriers—appeals process, lack of pardon prospects under the current administration, and no recent procedural reversals—making release before 2027 highly improbable absent extraordinary interventions like health crises or political shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
交易量
$3,331结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, removed from office by the Constitutional Court in April 2025 following his impeachment over the short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, faces a life sentence handed down by a Seoul court in February 2026 for leading an insurrection. This conviction, atop a prior five-year term for abuse of power and resisting arrest, has solidified his detention, with prosecutors securing extended warrants amid ongoing trials. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects the formidable legal barriers—appeals process, lack of pardon prospects under the current administration, and no recent procedural reversals—making release before 2027 highly improbable absent extraordinary interventions like health crises or political shifts.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,331结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, removed from office by the Constitutional Court in April 2025 following his impeachment over the short-lived 2024 martial law declaration, faces a life sentence handed down by a Seoul court in February 2026 for leading an insurrection. This conviction, atop a prior five-year term for abuse of power and resisting arrest, has solidified his detention, with prosecutors securing extended warrants amid ongoing trials. Trader consensus at 93% "No" reflects the formidable legal barriers—appeals process, lack of pardon prospects under the current administration, and no recent procedural reversals—making release before 2027 highly improbable absent extraordinary interventions like health crises or political shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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