South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains detained in Seoul Detention Center following his January 15, 2025 arrest on insurrection charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with traders pricing a 99.6% chance he stays in custody beyond March 31. Courts have repeatedly approved prosecution requests for detention extensions—most recently on March 22, rejecting Yoon's release bid amid ongoing trial preparations where evidence of rebellion is deemed sufficient to justify holding him. This procedural momentum, including a potential six-month limit under Korean law, underpins the near-unanimous trader consensus. Realistic shifts could arise from an appellate reversal, sudden health crisis, or Constitutional Court impeachment ruling accelerating his status, though none appear imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于是
$128,694 交易量
$128,694 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
是
$128,694 交易量
$128,694 交易量
Mar 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains detained in Seoul Detention Center following his January 15, 2025 arrest on insurrection charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with traders pricing a 99.6% chance he stays in custody beyond March 31. Courts have repeatedly approved prosecution requests for detention extensions—most recently on March 22, rejecting Yoon's release bid amid ongoing trial preparations where evidence of rebellion is deemed sufficient to justify holding him. This procedural momentum, including a potential six-month limit under Korean law, underpins the near-unanimous trader consensus. Realistic shifts could arise from an appellate reversal, sudden health crisis, or Constitutional Court impeachment ruling accelerating his status, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
交易量
$128,694结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains detained in Seoul Detention Center following his January 15, 2025 arrest on insurrection charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with traders pricing a 99.6% chance he stays in custody beyond March 31. Courts have repeatedly approved prosecution requests for detention extensions—most recently on March 22, rejecting Yoon's release bid amid ongoing trial preparations where evidence of rebellion is deemed sufficient to justify holding him. This procedural momentum, including a potential six-month limit under Korean law, underpins the near-unanimous trader consensus. Realistic shifts could arise from an appellate reversal, sudden health crisis, or Constitutional Court impeachment ruling accelerating his status, though none appear imminent.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$128,694结束日期
Mar 31, 2026市场开放时间
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains detained in Seoul Detention Center following his January 15, 2025 arrest on insurrection charges tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with traders pricing a 99.6% chance he stays in custody beyond March 31. Courts have repeatedly approved prosecution requests for detention extensions—most recently on March 22, rejecting Yoon's release bid amid ongoing trial preparations where evidence of rebellion is deemed sufficient to justify holding him. This procedural momentum, including a potential six-month limit under Korean law, underpins the near-unanimous trader consensus. Realistic shifts could arise from an appellate reversal, sudden health crisis, or Constitutional Court impeachment ruling accelerating his status, though none appear imminent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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