Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June Bank of Mexico (Banxico) rate decrease at 56% implied probability, driven by the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—a split 3-2 decision resuming easing despite headline CPI accelerating to 4.6% year-over-year in March from 4.0% prior. Weak January GDP proxy contraction of 0.9% month-over-month and steady unemployment at 2.6% in February support further monetary policy accommodation, while core inflation eased marginally to 4.46% mid-March. No-change odds at 44.5% reflect Governing Board minutes signaling caution near cycle end, with hikes at 30.5% amid persistent disinflation risks. Traders eye April CPI data and May policy meeting for resolution cues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Decrease 0
No change 0
Increase 0
最新
最新
2026-06-25
Decrease
56%
No change
50%
Increase
31%
Decrease 0
No change 0
Increase 0
最新
最新
2026-06-25
Decrease
$108 交易量
56%
No change
$38 交易量
50%
Increase
$235 交易量
31%
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June Bank of Mexico (Banxico) rate decrease at 56% implied probability, driven by the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—a split 3-2 decision resuming easing despite headline CPI accelerating to 4.6% year-over-year in March from 4.0% prior. Weak January GDP proxy contraction of 0.9% month-over-month and steady unemployment at 2.6% in February support further monetary policy accommodation, while core inflation eased marginally to 4.46% mid-March. No-change odds at 44.5% reflect Governing Board minutes signaling caution near cycle end, with hikes at 30.5% amid persistent disinflation risks. Traders eye April CPI data and May policy meeting for resolution cues.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市场开放时间： Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
交易量
$381结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June Bank of Mexico (Banxico) rate decrease at 56% implied probability, driven by the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—a split 3-2 decision resuming easing despite headline CPI accelerating to 4.6% year-over-year in March from 4.0% prior. Weak January GDP proxy contraction of 0.9% month-over-month and steady unemployment at 2.6% in February support further monetary policy accommodation, while core inflation eased marginally to 4.46% mid-March. No-change odds at 44.5% reflect Governing Board minutes signaling caution near cycle end, with hikes at 30.5% amid persistent disinflation risks. Traders eye April CPI data and May policy meeting for resolution cues.
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Mexico's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$381结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a June Bank of Mexico (Banxico) rate decrease at 56% implied probability, driven by the central bank's surprise 25 basis point cut to 6.75% on March 26, 2026—a split 3-2 decision resuming easing despite headline CPI accelerating to 4.6% year-over-year in March from 4.0% prior. Weak January GDP proxy contraction of 0.9% month-over-month and steady unemployment at 2.6% in February support further monetary policy accommodation, while core inflation eased marginally to 4.46% mid-March. No-change odds at 44.5% reflect Governing Board minutes signaling caution near cycle end, with hikes at 30.5% amid persistent disinflation risks. Traders eye April CPI data and May policy meeting for resolution cues.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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