US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

27%

$1M Vol.

$65.6K Liq.

68

Ends em 10 meses

March Unemployment Rate

March Unemployment Rate

37%

4.4%

$177K Vol.

$26.4K Liq.

Ends há cerca de 10 horas

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

88%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$719K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

93%

Up

$76 Vol.

$819 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

56%

5.0%

$345K Vol.

$25.6K Liq.

27

Ends em 9 meses

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$414K Vol.

$96.9K Liq.

40

Ends em 26 dias

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

28%

800–900B

$17.4K Vol.

$14.4K Liq.

Ends em 11 meses

China Annual Inflation 2026

China Annual Inflation 2026

32%

0.6 – 1.0%

$30.9K Vol.

$42.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Bank of Korea decision in April?

Bank of Korea decision in April?

99%

No Change

$38.1K Vol.

$34.9K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Bank of Korea decision in May?

Bank of Korea decision in May?

73%

No Change

$16.8K Vol.

$37.4K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?

57%

10+

$21.5K Vol.

$27.7K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

85%

Decrease

$5.7K Vol.

$19.7K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

20%

$5.6K Vol.

$2.8K Liq.

2

Ends em 11 meses

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

Bank of Brazil Decision in April?

85%

Decrease

$198K Vol.

$47.8K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

Bank of Israel Decision in July?

52%

No Change

$0 Vol.

$269 Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

Bank of Israel Decision in May?

91%

No Change

$12.0K Vol.

$4.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Bank of Russia decision in April?

Bank of Russia decision in April?

92%

Decrease

$40.9K Vol.

$60.3K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

March Inflation US - Monthly

March Inflation US - Monthly

92%

≥0.8%

$540K Vol.

$43.4K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

Bank of Mexico Decision in May

84%

No change

$10.0K Vol.

$15.7K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

Bank of Mexico Decision in June

50%

Decrease

$0 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Gabinete Nacional De InvestigaçãO EconóMica.

Polymarket currently hosts 101 active markets for Gabinete Nacional De InvestigaçãO EconóMica that lets you track or trade on predictions like “US recession by end of 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $3.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decisions (Mar-Jun),” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US recession by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 74% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Gabinete Nacional De InvestigaçãO EconóMica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.