Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 2.50% in May, reflecting the central bank's prolonged neutral stance signaled by its February dot-plot forecast and sixth consecutive hold. March 2026 headline CPI rose 2.2% year-on-year, undershooting expectations and easing from February's 2.0%, while core inflation dipped to 2.2%, supporting pause expectations amid stable unemployment at 2.9% and upgraded 2026 GDP growth projections. A 23% chance of a hike stems from lingering inflation risks, oil price pressures, and the new governor's March pledge for balanced policy amid won weakness; cuts at 5% remain unlikely given financial stability concerns. Watch the April 10 meeting for forward guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 74%
Increase 23%
Decrease 5%
$15,836 Vol.
$15,836 Vol.
Decrease
5%
No Change
74%
Increase
23%
No Change 74%
Increase 23%
Decrease 5%
$15,836 Vol.
$15,836 Vol.
Decrease
5%
No Change
74%
Increase
23%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 74% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its benchmark rate steady at 2.50% in May, reflecting the central bank's prolonged neutral stance signaled by its February dot-plot forecast and sixth consecutive hold. March 2026 headline CPI rose 2.2% year-on-year, undershooting expectations and easing from February's 2.0%, while core inflation dipped to 2.2%, supporting pause expectations amid stable unemployment at 2.9% and upgraded 2026 GDP growth projections. A 23% chance of a hike stems from lingering inflation risks, oil price pressures, and the new governor's March pledge for balanced policy amid won weakness; cuts at 5% remain unlikely given financial stability concerns. Watch the April 10 meeting for forward guidance.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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