Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 79.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in May, reflecting the central bank's neutral stance amid balanced economic risks following six consecutive holds through February 2026. March consumer price inflation rose modestly to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.3% median forecast—driven by oil prices yet tempered by government measures, supporting the no-change positioning while limiting hike odds at 18.5%. Low unemployment near 2.9% and upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 2.0% reinforce stability, with cut probabilities at just 3.5% amid resilient exports. Traders eye the April 9 policy meeting for forward guidance ahead of May.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoBank of Korea decision in May?
Bank of Korea decision in May?
No Change 80%
Increase 19%
Decrease 3.5%
$16,975 Vol.
$16,975 Vol.
Decrease
4%
No Change
80%
Increase
19%
No Change 80%
Increase 19%
Decrease 3.5%
$16,975 Vol.
$16,975 Vol.
Decrease
4%
No Change
80%
Increase
19%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 79.5% implied probability for the Bank of Korea to hold its base rate steady at 2.50% in May, reflecting the central bank's neutral stance amid balanced economic risks following six consecutive holds through February 2026. March consumer price inflation rose modestly to 2.2% year-over-year—up from February's 2.0% but below the 2.3% median forecast—driven by oil prices yet tempered by government measures, supporting the no-change positioning while limiting hike odds at 18.5%. Low unemployment near 2.9% and upgraded 2026 GDP growth forecasts to 2.0% reinforce stability, with cut probabilities at just 3.5% amid resilient exports. Traders eye the April 9 policy meeting for forward guidance ahead of May.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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