Market icon
Política·Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

Market icon
Política·Jerome Powell

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

$1,882,117 Vol.

14 mai 2026
Polymarket

$1,882,117 Vol.

Polymarket

14 de maio

$886,734 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, 2026, though his board seat extends to January 2028, allowing him to remain until Senate-confirmed successor assumes the role.** President Trump nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh in late January 2026—officially transmitted March 4—to lead the central bank amid policy tensions over interest rates and independence norms. Powell affirmed on March 18 he will stay post-term without confirmation. A federal court blocked a DOJ probe into $1 billion Fed building renovation overruns on March 13, which Powell called political harassment. Traders eye Senate confirmation hearings, procedural holds, and vote timelines, as delays prolong Powell's leadership while historical precedents favor timely transitions for nominees.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,882,117
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's term expires May 15, 2026, though his board seat extends to January 2028, allowing him to remain until Senate-confirmed successor assumes the role.** President Trump nominated former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh in late January 2026—officially transmitted March 4—to lead the central bank amid policy tensions over interest rates and independence norms. Powell affirmed on March 18 he will stay post-term without confirmation. A federal court blocked a DOJ probe into $1 billion Fed building renovation overruns on March 13, which Powell called political harassment. Traders eye Senate confirmation hearings, procedural holds, and vote timelines, as delays prolong Powell's leadership while historical precedents favor timely transitions for nominees.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,882,117
Data de Término
14 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Jan 4, 2026, 2:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Jerome Powell's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "14 de maio" at 1%, followed by "31 de março" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 1¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 1% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?" is "14 de maio" at just 1%, with "31 de março" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.