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Jerome Powell previsões e probabilidades

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Decisão do Fed em junho?

Decisão do Fed em junho?

97%

Sem alteração

$20M Vol.

$1M today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?

Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?

100%

Kevin Warsh

$50M Vol.

$219K today

$3M Liq.

101

Ends em 6 meses

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

Quantos cortes de juros do Fed em 2026?

56%

0 (0 bps)

$24M Vol.

$173K today

$1M Liq.

67

Ends em 8 meses

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell como Presidente do Fed por...?

99%

30 de junho

$4M Vol.

$56.1K today

$253K Liq.

96

Ends em 5 dias

Decisão do Fed em julho?

Decisão do Fed em julho?

90%

Sem mudança

$5M Vol.

$52.7K today

$490K Liq.

1

Ends em 3 meses

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

Aumento da taxa do Fed em 2026?

18%

Sim

$1M Vol.

$52.4K today

$23.0K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

Taxa do Fed cortada em...?

44%

Reunião de Dezembro

$2M Vol.

$126K Liq.

17

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

80%

No change

$35.6K Vol.

$57.1K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

Jerome Powell departs as Fed Chair by...?

100%

June 30

$54.5K Vol.

$22.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

Qual será a taxa do Fed no final de 2026?

54%

3,75%

$6M Vol.

$286K Liq.

7

Ends em 7 meses

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

Jerome Powell fora do Conselho do Fed por...?

43%

31 de dezembro

$305K Vol.

$40.8K Liq.

12

Ends em 8 meses

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

Decisões do Fed (mar-jun)

97%

Pausar–Pausar–Pausar

$1M Vol.

$54.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

O que a taxa do Fed atingirá antes de 2027?

43%

↓ 3,25%

$1M Vol.

$102K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?

96%

May 15–22

$79.1K Vol.

$43.6K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Quão alto será o rendimento do Tesouro a 10 anos antes de 2027?

Quão alto será o rendimento do Tesouro a 10 anos antes de 2027?

81%

4,5%

$196K Vol.

$25.5K Liq.

Ends em 8 meses

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

DOJ reopens Powell investigation by...?

6%

June 30

$3.8K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

39%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1.0K Vol.

$48.7K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

Decisões do Fed (abr-jul)

88%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$48.0K Vol.

$60.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?

Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?

1%

Sim

$264K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

33

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

How many dissent at the next Fed meeting?

49%

0

$6.9K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for Jerome Powell that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Decisão do Fed em junho?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $116.1M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Jerome Powell cobrado pelo governo federal até 30 de junho?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Quem será confirmado como Presidente do Fed?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 100% chance to Kevin Warsh. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Jerome Powell predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.