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Economia·RBI

Decisão do Banco da Reserva da Índia em abril

Market icon
Economia·RBI

Decisão do Banco da Reserva da Índia em abril

abr 8

abr 8

Sem alteração 98.1%

Aumentar 1.8%

Redução <1%

Polymarket

$13,723 Vol.

Sem alteração 98.1%

Aumentar 1.8%

Redução <1%

Polymarket

$13,723 Vol.

Redução

$2,663 Vol.

<1%

Sem alteração

$7,507 Vol.

98%

Aumentar

$3,552 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98% implied probability of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) holding its policy repo rate steady at 5.25% during the April 6-8 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting anchored inflation and robust growth momentum. February 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.21% year-over-year—comfortably within the 4% target midpoint—while RBI's FY26 inflation projection stands at 2.1% and GDP growth at 7.4%, supporting the neutral stance retained since February's hold. Middle East tensions pose upside inflation risks via oil prices and rupee pressure near 93/USD, yet traders see no catalyst for a hike or cut. A surprise March CPI print above 3.5% or accelerated foreign outflows could challenge this positioning ahead of the April 8 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$13,723
Data de Término
8 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 98% implied probability of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) holding its policy repo rate steady at 5.25% during the April 6-8 Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, reflecting anchored inflation and robust growth momentum. February 2026 CPI rose modestly to 3.21% year-over-year—comfortably within the 4% target midpoint—while RBI's FY26 inflation projection stands at 2.1% and GDP growth at 7.4%, supporting the neutral stance retained since February's hold. Middle East tensions pose upside inflation risks via oil prices and rupee pressure near 93/USD, yet traders see no catalyst for a hike or cut. A surprise March CPI print above 3.5% or accelerated foreign outflows could challenge this positioning ahead of the April 8 resolution.

This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026.

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$13,723
Data de Término
8 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Feb 6, 2026, 5:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the policy repo rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee’s April meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of India after its meeting scheduled for April 8, 2026. This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement for their April 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. The statement will be made available here: https://rbi.org.in/Scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx. If no decision on the policy repo rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Decisão do Banco da Reserva da Índia em abril" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sem alteração" at 98%, followed by "Aumentar" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Decisão do Banco da Reserva da Índia em abril" has generated $13.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Decisão do Banco da Reserva da Índia em abril," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Decisão do Banco da Reserva da Índia em abril" is "Sem alteração" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Aumentar" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Decisão do Banco da Reserva da Índia em abril" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.