Trader sentiment for Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth hinges on resilient leading indicators amid stagflation risks, with Eurostat's flash estimate slated for April 29 alongside the ECB's policy meeting. March manufacturing PMI climbed to a 45-month high of 51.6, signaling output expansion from February's 50.8, while the composite PMI reflected modest growth; however, surging input costs and supply disruptions from Middle East tensions—exacerbated by the Iran conflict—prompted ECB staff to lift 2026 headline inflation projections to 2.6% in March. Q4 2025 GDP confirmed at 0.3% quarter-on-quarter growth, supporting annual forecasts around 1.2-1.3%, but traders weigh potential ECB rate responses to energy pressures against sustained labor market strength.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoEurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026
Eurozone GDP growth in Q1 2026
<0.5%
11%
0.5-0.8%
49%
0.9-1.2%
56%
1.3-1.6%
33%
1.7-2.0%
17%
2.1-2.4%
27%
2.5%+
4%
$4,802 Vol.
<0.5%
11%
0.5-0.8%
49%
0.9-1.2%
56%
1.3-1.6%
33%
1.7-2.0%
17%
2.1-2.4%
27%
2.5%+
4%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado Aberto: Feb 2, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment for Eurozone Q1 2026 GDP growth hinges on resilient leading indicators amid stagflation risks, with Eurostat's flash estimate slated for April 29 alongside the ECB's policy meeting. March manufacturing PMI climbed to a 45-month high of 51.6, signaling output expansion from February's 50.8, while the composite PMI reflected modest growth; however, surging input costs and supply disruptions from Middle East tensions—exacerbated by the Iran conflict—prompted ECB staff to lift 2026 headline inflation projections to 2.6% in March. Q4 2025 GDP confirmed at 0.3% quarter-on-quarter growth, supporting annual forecasts around 1.2-1.3%, but traders weigh potential ECB rate responses to energy pressures against sustained labor market strength.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
Cuidado com os links externos.
Cuidado com os links externos.
Frequently Asked Questions