Market icon
Economia·Folha De Pagamento Não-agrícola

Quantos empregos foram adicionados em março?

Market icon
Economia·Folha De Pagamento Não-agrícola

Quantos empregos foram adicionados em março?

abr 3

abr 3

50k – 100k 40%

100k+ 31%

0 – 50k 25%

-50k – 0 8%

Polymarket

$19,051 Vol.

50k – 100k 40%

100k+ 31%

0 – 50k 25%

-50k – 0 8%

Polymarket

$19,051 Vol.

<-150k

$2,305 Vol.

1%

-150k – -100k

$1,189 Vol.

3%

-100k – -50k

$1,219 Vol.

2%

-50k – 0

$1,575 Vol.

8%

0 – 50k

$1,220 Vol.

25%

50k – 100k

$5,948 Vol.

34%

100k+

$5,618 Vol.

31%

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader sentiment on Polymarket's March nonfarm payrolls market reflects a closely contested outlook, with 50k–100k jobs added leading at 34% implied probability versus 31% for 100k+, mirroring economist consensus medians around 60k from Bloomberg and FactSet surveys. February's surprise -92k payroll decline, attributed to severe weather and strikes, sets up expectations for a modest rebound confirmed by ADP's +62k private hiring print on April 1, though rising initial jobless claims to 210k signal persistent softening. Key differentiators include potential strike resolutions boosting 100k+ odds and labor market fragility favoring sub-100k, ahead of tomorrow's BLS release that could swing positioning sharply.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$19,051
Data de Término
3 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmTrader sentiment on Polymarket's March nonfarm payrolls market reflects a closely contested outlook, with 50k–100k jobs added leading at 34% implied probability versus 31% for 100k+, mirroring economist consensus medians around 60k from Bloomberg and FactSet surveys. February's surprise -92k payroll decline, attributed to severe weather and strikes, sets up expectations for a modest rebound confirmed by ADP's +62k private hiring print on April 1, though rising initial jobless claims to 210k signal persistent softening. Key differentiators include potential strike resolutions boosting 100k+ odds and labor market fragility favoring sub-100k, ahead of tomorrow's BLS release that could swing positioning sharply.

This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Volume
$19,051
Data de Término
3 abr 2026
Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for March 2026, scheduled to be released on April 3, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quantos empregos foram adicionados em março?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50k – 100k" at 34%, followed by "100k+" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 34¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quantos empregos foram adicionados em março?" has generated $19.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 11, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quantos empregos foram adicionados em março?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quantos empregos foram adicionados em março?" is "50k – 100k" at 34%, meaning the market assigns a 34% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100k+" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quantos empregos foram adicionados em março?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.