How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

43%

5.0%

$346K Vol.

$14.8K Liq.

13

Ends em 9 meses

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 20​26?

93%

Up

$76 Vol.

$606 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

Will Elon Musk pay TSA salaries?

1%

$43.0K Vol.

$8.6K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

18%

$5.6K Vol.

$4.1K Liq.

2

Ends em 11 meses

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?

82%

$665 Vol.

$1.6K Liq.

Ends em 11 dias

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?

46%

US x Iran Ceasefire

$109K Vol.

$47.0K Liq.

3

Ends em 7 meses

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

29%

$1M Vol.

$62.9K Liq.

43

Ends em 10 meses

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 20​26?

94%

Up

$10.4K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

Ends em 11 meses

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

14%

$108K Vol.

$17.5K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

Clavicular sentenced to prison?

17%

$3.4K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

4

Ends em 9 meses

arch Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

arch Will Draftkings (DKNG) beat quarterly earnings?

-

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends há cerca de 2 meses

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

43%

$446K Vol.

$41.1K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

13%

$59.2K Vol.

$30.2K Liq.

4

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

14%

April 30

$53.0K Vol.

$10.6K Liq.

18

Ends em 26 dias

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

86%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$721K Vol.

$100K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

98%

Kevin Cramer

$71.9K Vol.

$32.7K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

Fed decisions (Jan-Apr)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$419K Vol.

$92.6K Liq.

Ends em 25 dias

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

33%

4-6

$40.0K Vol.

$1.9K Liq.

1

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 2?

48%

Up

$0 Vol.

$1 Liq.

Ends há 1 dia

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 6?

Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on April 6?

52%

Up

$7 Vol.

$37 Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

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As of today, the most active market is “US recession by end of 2026?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 72% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

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