Polymarket traders assign a 98.6% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% in the April 10 meeting, reflecting strong consensus on a neutral monetary policy stance amid balanced economic risks. March 2026 consumer price inflation rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up slightly from February's 2.0% but undershooting the 2.4% median forecast—driven by oil price pressures yet tempered by government measures, keeping price pressures within the central bank's comfort zone. The Monetary Policy Board unanimously held rates steady in February for a fifth straight meeting, citing steady growth projections around 1.8–2.0% for 2026 and robust semiconductor exports offsetting construction weakness. Realistic challenges include a sharper energy-led inflation spike from geopolitical tensions or downside surprises in upcoming GDP data, though core inflation stability at 2.2% bolsters the no-change positioning ahead of the decision.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoDecisão do Banco da Coreia em abril?
Decisão do Banco da Coreia em abril?
Sem alteração 98.6%
Aumento 1.3%
Redução <1%
$52,415 Vol.
$52,415 Vol.
Redução
<1%
Sem alteração
99%
Aumento
1%
Sem alteração 98.6%
Aumento 1.3%
Redução <1%
$52,415 Vol.
$52,415 Vol.
Redução
<1%
Sem alteração
99%
Aumento
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Jan 15, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its April 10, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their April 10, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 98.6% implied probability to the Bank of Korea maintaining its base rate at 2.50% in the April 10 meeting, reflecting strong consensus on a neutral monetary policy stance amid balanced economic risks. March 2026 consumer price inflation rose to 2.2% year-over-year—up slightly from February's 2.0% but undershooting the 2.4% median forecast—driven by oil price pressures yet tempered by government measures, keeping price pressures within the central bank's comfort zone. The Monetary Policy Board unanimously held rates steady in February for a fifth straight meeting, citing steady growth projections around 1.8–2.0% for 2026 and robust semiconductor exports offsetting construction weakness. Realistic challenges include a sharper energy-led inflation spike from geopolitical tensions or downside surprises in upcoming GDP data, though core inflation stability at 2.2% bolsters the no-change positioning ahead of the decision.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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