Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a No Change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 99.6% for the April 8 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February hold at 2.25% amid annual CPI inflation at 3.1% in Q4 2025—above the 1-3% target but projected to ease toward the 2% midpoint. Governor Anna Breman's recent guidance emphasizes accommodative policy amid softening labor markets (unemployment at 5.4%) and spare capacity, with no major shocks despite energy price warnings. Changes to open market operations effective April 2 signal technical tweaks, not policy shifts. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected Q1 CPI (due April 21) or protracted oil shocks prompting a hike, though base rates favor status quo.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoSem Alteração 99.6%
Aumentar <1%
Reduzir <1%
$33,865 Vol.
$33,865 Vol.
Reduzir
<1%
Sem Alteração
100%
Aumentar
<1%
Sem Alteração 99.6%
Aumentar <1%
Reduzir <1%
$33,865 Vol.
$33,865 Vol.
Reduzir
<1%
Sem Alteração
100%
Aumentar
<1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 29, 2025, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand after its April 7, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of New Zealand monetary policy schedule: https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/news-and-events/events#sort=%40eventstart%20ascending&f:@hierarchicalz95xsz120xatopictagnames=[Monetary%20policy]
This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's media release for their April 7, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the official cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices a No Change in the Reserve Bank of New Zealand's Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 99.6% for the April 8 Monetary Policy Review, reflecting the February hold at 2.25% amid annual CPI inflation at 3.1% in Q4 2025—above the 1-3% target but projected to ease toward the 2% midpoint. Governor Anna Breman's recent guidance emphasizes accommodative policy amid softening labor markets (unemployment at 5.4%) and spare capacity, with no major shocks despite energy price warnings. Changes to open market operations effective April 2 signal technical tweaks, not policy shifts. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected Q1 CPI (due April 21) or protracted oil shocks prompting a hike, though base rates favor status quo.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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