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Policies predictions & odds

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Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

4%

May 31

$146K Vol.

$19.0K Liq.

10

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

84%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$4.8K Liq.

125

Ends in about 1 month

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

17%

$20.0K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

White House # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

49%

160-179

$9.2K Vol.

$32.3K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

73%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$46 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

98%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$1M Vol.

$77.2K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

White House # posts May 12 - May 19, 2026?

69%

180-199

$39.1K Vol.

$27.9K Liq.

Ends in 2 days

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

White House # posts May 19 - May 26, 2026?

30%

140-159

$2.1K Vol.

$40.4K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

<1%

$332K Vol.

$65.2K today

$44.3K Liq.

17

Ends in 4 days

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

19%

$15.8K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

13

Ends in 13 days

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

6%

$460 Vol.

$778 Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

6%

June 30, 2026

$761K Vol.

$3.3K Liq.

15

Epstein client list released by...?

Epstein client list released by...?

3%

June 30

$4M Vol.

$39.9K Liq.

1,035

Ends in about 1 month

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

55%

December 31, 2027

$480K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

33

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

Nothing Ever Happens: Obama

88%

Nothing

$10.5K Vol.

$9.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

6%

$147K Vol.

$11.6K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in May 2026?

42%

3

$16.8K Vol.

$6.4K Liq.

2

Ends in 13 days

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

100%

May 17

$500K Vol.

$101K Liq.

Ends in 13 days

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts May 15 - May 22, 2026?

43%

80-99

$7.3K Vol.

$5.8K Liq.

Ends in 5 days

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

11%

$320K Vol.

$43.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Policies.

Polymarket currently hosts 106 active markets for Policies that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $10.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Epstein client list released by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Epstein client list released by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 3% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Policies predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.