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Coup predictions & odds

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Russia coup attempt in 2026?

Russia coup attempt in 2026?

10%

$7.7K Vol.

$34.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

8%

$1M Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

23

Ends in about 1 month

China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

3%

$128K Vol.

$28.4K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?

3%

$12.3K Vol.

$13.3K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Coupe de France: Winner

Coupe de France: Winner

68%

Lens

$4.6K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

Ends in 19 days

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

42%

Kareem Allam

$67.3K Vol.

$122K Liq.

1

Ends in 5 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

8%

$50.9K Vol.

$15.3K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

Evo Morales arrested by May 31

19%

$15.8K Vol.

$4.6K Liq.

13

Ends in 14 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

52%

Starmer - UK PM

$356K Vol.

$260K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

State of Siege declared in Chile by June 30?

2%

$53.1K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

9

Ends in about 1 month

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

25%

December 31

$1M Vol.

$16.9K Liq.

72

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Oldboys vs Passion Academy (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$32.1K Vol.

$1 Liq.

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?

9%

$29.5K Vol.

$14.2K Liq.

3

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs UNiTY esports (BO1) - Conquest of Prague Online Stage Group Stage

100%

UNiTY esports

$20.3K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

94%

$761K Vol.

$84.7K Liq.

64

Ends in about 1 month

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs Sangal ALTERS (BO3) - United21 Group A

100%

Passion Academy

$34.5K Vol.

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

88%

Delcy Rodríguez

$18.8K Vol.

$529K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

82%

June 30

$28.7K Vol.

$3.7K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

60%

$568K Vol.

$21.7K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Counter-Strike: Passion Academy vs ReThink (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

100%

ReThink

$14.4K Vol.

$0 Liq.

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Coup.

Polymarket currently hosts 110 active markets for Coup that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Russia coup attempt in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $4.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Insurrection Act invoked by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Iran coup attempt by June 30?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Coup predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.