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Finance·Business·

Asked by

Silicon Data image

Silicon Data

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

Market icon
Finance·Business·

Asked by

Silicon Data image

Silicon Data

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?

Apr 30

Apr 30

$506,378 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$506,378 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $4.00

$90,577 Vol.

2%

↑ $3.50

$8,846 Vol.

2%

↑ $3.00

$35,705 Vol.

3%

↑ $2.75

$91,214 Vol.

37%

↓ $2.20

$45,809 Vol.

3%

↓ $2.10

$40,624 Vol.

2%

↓ $2.00

$26,626 Vol.

3%

↓ $1.75

$17,647 Vol.

1%

↓ $1.50

$71,076 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or below the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.Trader sentiment on H100 GPU rental prices hinges on persistent AI compute shortages fueling a 40% surge in one-year contract rates to $2.35 per hour as of March 2026, per SemiAnalysis data released April 1, despite NVIDIA's Blackwell GPU ramp-up. Spot prices remain volatile across platforms—Vast.ai at around $1.55 per hour for H100 SXM, RunPod starting at $2.39 for PCIe variants, and neocloud providers like CoreWeave exceeding $4—reflecting inelastic demand from large language model training and agentic AI workloads at labs like Anthropic. The Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT), tracking neocloud rentals and key to market resolution by April 30, underscores this tightness, with no significant supply influx anticipated before Q2 Blackwell deployments. Watch for AI earnings calls and capacity announcements that could sway near-term dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or below the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$506,378
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 10:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or below the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or greater than the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or below the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.Trader sentiment on H100 GPU rental prices hinges on persistent AI compute shortages fueling a 40% surge in one-year contract rates to $2.35 per hour as of March 2026, per SemiAnalysis data released April 1, despite NVIDIA's Blackwell GPU ramp-up. Spot prices remain volatile across platforms—Vast.ai at around $1.55 per hour for H100 SXM, RunPod starting at $2.39 for PCIe variants, and neocloud providers like CoreWeave exceeding $4—reflecting inelastic demand from large language model training and agentic AI workloads at labs like Anthropic. The Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT), tracking neocloud rentals and key to market resolution by April 30, underscores this tightness, with no significant supply influx anticipated before Q2 Blackwell deployments. Watch for AI earnings calls and capacity announcements that could sway near-term dynamics.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published.

This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or below the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.

Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$506,378
End Date
Apr 30, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 3, 2026, 10:31 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, for any day between February 2 and April 30, 2026, the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) has a price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Silicon Data — specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://www.silicondata.com/products/silicon-index, which tracks Neocloud rental prices. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day's data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the price shown on the Silicon Data H100 chart is equal to or below the listed price, or once the value for April 30, 2026 is finalized. If no data for April 30, 2026 has been finalized by May 14, 2026, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. Revisions made to previously published data points on the H100 Index chart, before the April 30, 2026 data point has been finalized, will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published data point from resolving this market. Revisions made after the April 30, 2026, data point has been finalized will not be considered.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ $2.50" at 100%, followed by "↑ $2.40" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?" has generated $506.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?" is "↑ $2.50" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ $2.40" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.