Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

$73,299,598 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 65%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 20%

André Ventura (CH) 6.5%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$73,299,598
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$73,299,598 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 65%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 20%

André Ventura (CH) 6.5%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.3%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$650,657 Vol.

65%

Market icon

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$295,873 Vol.

20%

Market icon

André Ventura (CH)

$879,214 Vol.

7%

Market icon

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$340,254 Vol.

5%

Market icon

António José Seguro (IND)

$306,100 Vol.

4%

Market icon

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,682,758 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,798,008 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Jorge Pinto

$4,784,809 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,202,352 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$552,043 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Catarina Martins (BE)

$230,138 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Tim Vieira (IND)

$175,060 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,155,369 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

André Pestana (IND)

$1,653,207 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$519,834 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,813,963 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,239,958 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$5,436,917 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,608,346 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,472,935 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

António Filipe (PCP)

$5,462,291 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,039,512 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$73,299,598
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.