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Politics·Primaries

Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Politics·Primaries

Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner

Andy Biggs 94%

David Schweikert 4.4%

Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%

Polymarket

$47,622 Vol.

Andy Biggs 94%

David Schweikert 4.4%

Karrin Taylor Robson 1.4%

Polymarket

$47,622 Vol.

Andy Biggs

$0 Vol.

94%

David Schweikert

$0 Vol.

4%

Karrin Taylor Robson

$47,622 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus strongly favors Rep. Andy Biggs at 94% to win the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his leadership as House Freedom Caucus chairman, enduring appeal among the conservative primary electorate that propelled Trump-aligned candidates like Kari Lake to victory in 2022, and superior name recognition compared to Rep. David Schweikert (4.4%) or 2022 contender Karrin Taylor Robson (1.8%). With no formal announcements for the 2026 contest amid Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs' current term, markets reflect early skin-in-the-game assessments of field dynamics and historical base rates in Arizona GOP primaries, where hardline conservatives hold sway. Upsets remain possible via Biggs declining to run, high-profile entrants like Kari Lake or Blake Masters, unexpected endorsements, or shifts in donor support.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$47,622
End Date
Jul 21, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 4, 2025, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Arizona, scheduled to take place on July 21, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Arizona Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Arizona Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trader consensus strongly favors Rep. Andy Biggs at 94% to win the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his leadership as House Freedom Caucus chairman, enduring appeal among the conservative primary electorate that propelled Trump-aligned candidates like Kari Lake to victory in 2022, and superior name recognition compared to Rep. David Schweikert (4.4%) or 2022 contender Karrin Taylor Robson (1.8%). With no formal announcements for the 2026 contest amid Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs' current term, markets reflect early skin-in-the-game assessments of field dynamics and historical base rates in Arizona GOP primaries, where hardline conservatives hold sway. Upsets remain possible via Biggs declining to run, high-profile entrants like Kari Lake or Blake Masters, unexpected endorsements, or shifts in donor support.

Trader consensus strongly favors Rep. Andy Biggs at 94% to win the Arizona Republican gubernatorial primary, driven by his leadership as House Freedom Caucus chairman, enduring appeal among the conservative primary electorate that propelled Trump-aligned candidates like Kari Lake to victory in 2022, and superior name recognition compared to Rep. David Schweikert (4.4%) or 2022 contender Karrin Taylor Robson (1.8%). With no formal announcements for the 2026 contest amid Democratic Gov. Katie Hobbs' current term, markets reflect early skin-in-the-game assessments of field dynamics and historical base rates in Arizona GOP primaries, where hardline conservatives hold sway. Upsets remain possible via Biggs declining to run, high-profile entrants like Kari Lake or Blake Masters, unexpected endorsements, or shifts in donor support.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Andy Biggs" at 94%, followed by "David Schweikert" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 94¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" has generated $47.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" is "Andy Biggs" at 94%, meaning the market assigns a 94% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Schweikert" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arizona Governor Republican Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.