Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
Google 68%
xAIÂ 22%
None by June 30Â 8.2%
OpenAIÂ 3.5%
$282,400 Vol
$282,400 Vol
Dec 31, 2025

Google
$33,889 Vol.
68%

$33,889 Vol.
68%

xAI
$18,245 Vol.
22%

xAI
$18,245 Vol.
22%

None by June 30
$13,683 Vol.
8%

None by June 30
$13,683 Vol.
8%

OpenAI
$26,738 Vol.
3%

OpenAI
$26,738 Vol.
3%

Anthropic
$71,312 Vol.
2%

Anthropic
$71,312 Vol.
2%

DeepSeek
$44,761 Vol.
1%

DeepSeek
$44,761 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$46,789 Vol.
<1%

Z.ai
$46,789 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$14,441 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$14,441 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$12,543 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$12,543 Vol.
<1%
Rules
This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.
If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".
If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Created At: Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
Volume
$282,400End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?
Google 68%
xAIÂ 22%
None by June 30Â 8.2%
OpenAIÂ 3.5%
$282,400 Vol
$282,400 Vol
Dec 31, 2025

$33,889 Vol.
68%

xAI
$18,245 Vol.
22%

None by June 30
$13,683 Vol.
8%

OpenAI
$26,738 Vol.
3%

Anthropic
$71,312 Vol.
2%

DeepSeek
$44,761 Vol.
1%

Z.ai
$46,789 Vol.
<1%

Alibaba
$14,441 Vol.
<1%

Mistral
$12,543 Vol.
<1%
About
Volume
$282,400End Date
Jun 30, 2026Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.