Market icon

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

Google 68%

xAI 22%

None by June 30 8.2%

OpenAI 3.5%

$282,400 Vol

Rules

This market will resolve according to the listed entity which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1500+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market.

If no company's model reaches 1500 Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None by June 30".

If the first model to reach a 1500+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Volume
$282,400
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
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Market icon

Which company's AI will first hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30?

Google 68%

xAI 22%

None by June 30 8.2%

OpenAI 3.5%

$282,400 Vol

Market icon

Google

$33,889 Vol.

68%

Market icon

xAI

$18,245 Vol.

22%

Market icon

None by June 30

$13,683 Vol.

8%

Market icon

OpenAI

$26,738 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Anthropic

$71,312 Vol.

2%

Market icon

DeepSeek

$44,761 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Z.ai

$46,789 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Alibaba

$14,441 Vol.

<1%

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Mistral

$12,543 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$282,400
End Date
Jun 30, 2026
Created At
Oct 14, 2025, 8:39 AM ET
shield

Beware of external links.