Tensions from Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military targets, followed by Tehran's vows of retaliation, have dimmed prospects for a direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting, as the Biden administration prioritizes de-escalation and Israel support amid Iran's nuclear advancements and proxy activities. No bilateral talks are scheduled, with indirect Oman-mediated channels dormant since Vienna negotiations collapsed in 2022. President Pezeshkian's post-election overtures for JCPOA revival drew cautious US interest but stalled amid sanctions and regional conflicts. Traders eye the November 5 US presidential election as a potential pivot for foreign policy shifts, alongside IAEA nuclear reports and possible Gulf diplomacy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$890,771 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
March 31
13%
April 30
53%
June 30
78%
$890,771 Vol.
March 31
$554,151 Vol.
13%
April 30
$77,360 Vol.
53%
June 30
$13,669 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions from Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military targets, followed by Tehran's vows of retaliation, have dimmed prospects for a direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting, as the Biden administration prioritizes de-escalation and Israel support amid Iran's nuclear advancements and proxy activities. No bilateral talks are scheduled, with indirect Oman-mediated channels dormant since Vienna negotiations collapsed in 2022. President Pezeshkian's post-election overtures for JCPOA revival drew cautious US interest but stalled amid sanctions and regional conflicts. Traders eye the November 5 US presidential election as a potential pivot for foreign policy shifts, alongside IAEA nuclear reports and possible Gulf diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$890,771End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Tensions from Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military targets, followed by Tehran's vows of retaliation, have dimmed prospects for a direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting, as the Biden administration prioritizes de-escalation and Israel support amid Iran's nuclear advancements and proxy activities. No bilateral talks are scheduled, with indirect Oman-mediated channels dormant since Vienna negotiations collapsed in 2022. President Pezeshkian's post-election overtures for JCPOA revival drew cautious US interest but stalled amid sanctions and regional conflicts. Traders eye the November 5 US presidential election as a potential pivot for foreign policy shifts, alongside IAEA nuclear reports and possible Gulf diplomacy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$890,771End Date
Mar 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tensions from Israel's October 26 airstrikes on Iranian military targets, followed by Tehran's vows of retaliation, have dimmed prospects for a direct US-Iran diplomatic meeting, as the Biden administration prioritizes de-escalation and Israel support amid Iran's nuclear advancements and proxy activities. No bilateral talks are scheduled, with indirect Oman-mediated channels dormant since Vienna negotiations collapsed in 2022. President Pezeshkian's post-election overtures for JCPOA revival drew cautious US interest but stalled amid sanctions and regional conflicts. Traders eye the November 5 US presidential election as a potential pivot for foreign policy shifts, alongside IAEA nuclear reports and possible Gulf diplomacy.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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