Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez leads a fragile minority coalition government in Spain's proportional representation system, relying on support from hard-left Sumar and regional nationalist parties amid ongoing opposition pressure from the center-right Popular Party (PP) and far-right Vox. Recent regional elections in February saw PSOE losses in Aragon, where Vox doubled its seats, though Socialists claimed gains elsewhere in March, signaling volatile voter sentiment. A major diplomatic rift emerged in early March when Sánchez refused US requests for Spanish airspace and bases amid the Iran conflict, prompting President Trump's trade embargo threats and delaying Spain's budget over economic fallout. No no-confidence vote has been tabled recently, with general elections due by August 2027, but snap elections or parliamentary defeat remain risks if coalition partners withdraw amid scandals or fiscal strains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?
$104,382 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30, 2026
5%
December 31, 2026
23%
$104,382 Vol.
June 30, 2026
$68,548 Vol.
5%
December 31, 2026
$35,834 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez leads a fragile minority coalition government in Spain's proportional representation system, relying on support from hard-left Sumar and regional nationalist parties amid ongoing opposition pressure from the center-right Popular Party (PP) and far-right Vox. Recent regional elections in February saw PSOE losses in Aragon, where Vox doubled its seats, though Socialists claimed gains elsewhere in March, signaling volatile voter sentiment. A major diplomatic rift emerged in early March when Sánchez refused US requests for Spanish airspace and bases amid the Iran conflict, prompting President Trump's trade embargo threats and delaying Spain's budget over economic fallout. No no-confidence vote has been tabled recently, with general elections due by August 2027, but snap elections or parliamentary defeat remain risks if coalition partners withdraw amid scandals or fiscal strains.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ET
Volume
$104,382End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez leads a fragile minority coalition government in Spain's proportional representation system, relying on support from hard-left Sumar and regional nationalist parties amid ongoing opposition pressure from the center-right Popular Party (PP) and far-right Vox. Recent regional elections in February saw PSOE losses in Aragon, where Vox doubled its seats, though Socialists claimed gains elsewhere in March, signaling volatile voter sentiment. A major diplomatic rift emerged in early March when Sánchez refused US requests for Spanish airspace and bases amid the Iran conflict, prompting President Trump's trade embargo threats and delaying Spain's budget over economic fallout. No no-confidence vote has been tabled recently, with general elections due by August 2027, but snap elections or parliamentary defeat remain risks if coalition partners withdraw amid scandals or fiscal strains.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pedro Sánchez ceases to be Prime Minister of Spain for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Pedro Sánchez's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pedro Sánchez and the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$104,382End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 2, 2025, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez leads a fragile minority coalition government in Spain's proportional representation system, relying on support from hard-left Sumar and regional nationalist parties amid ongoing opposition pressure from the center-right Popular Party (PP) and far-right Vox. Recent regional elections in February saw PSOE losses in Aragon, where Vox doubled its seats, though Socialists claimed gains elsewhere in March, signaling volatile voter sentiment. A major diplomatic rift emerged in early March when Sánchez refused US requests for Spanish airspace and bases amid the Iran conflict, prompting President Trump's trade embargo threats and delaying Spain's budget over economic fallout. No no-confidence vote has been tabled recently, with general elections due by August 2027, but snap elections or parliamentary defeat remain risks if coalition partners withdraw amid scandals or fiscal strains.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions