Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1,320–1,399 posts for Elon Musk's X activity in March 2026, mirroring his recent monthly averages of roughly 40–45 posts per day amid sustained high-volume engagement. This positioning stems from post-2024 election surges in political commentary, Tesla updates, and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) announcements, where Musk co-leads advisory efforts with President-elect Trump, yet shows no slowdown. The narrow spread persists due to historical posting consistency—peaking over 1,400 in active periods like October 2024 primaries—balanced against variability from business demands or platform algorithm tweaks. Separation could arise from official DOGE workload intensification reducing availability, major SpaceX launches diverting focus, or explicit statements on posting habits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated1320-1359 25.1%
1360-1399 24.4%
1400+ 23.6%
1280-1319 18.1%
$3,083,716 Vol.
$3,083,716 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
1%
1240-1279
2%
1280-1319
18%
1320-1359
25%
1360-1399
24%
1400+
24%
1320-1359 25.1%
1360-1399 24.4%
1400+ 23.6%
1280-1319 18.1%
$3,083,716 Vol.
$3,083,716 Vol.
Apr 1, 2026
1160-1199
$245,864 Vol.
<1%
1200-1239
$301,043 Vol.
1%
1240-1279
$379,070 Vol.
2%
1280-1319
$699,783 Vol.
18%
1320-1359
$428,644 Vol.
25%
1360-1399
$205,283 Vol.
24%
1400+
$86,596 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1,320–1,399 posts for Elon Musk's X activity in March 2026, mirroring his recent monthly averages of roughly 40–45 posts per day amid sustained high-volume engagement. This positioning stems from post-2024 election surges in political commentary, Tesla updates, and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) announcements, where Musk co-leads advisory efforts with President-elect Trump, yet shows no slowdown. The narrow spread persists due to historical posting consistency—peaking over 1,400 in active periods like October 2024 primaries—balanced against variability from business demands or platform algorithm tweaks. Separation could arise from official DOGE workload intensification reducing availability, major SpaceX launches diverting focus, or explicit statements on posting habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$3,083,716End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1,320–1,399 posts for Elon Musk's X activity in March 2026, mirroring his recent monthly averages of roughly 40–45 posts per day amid sustained high-volume engagement. This positioning stems from post-2024 election surges in political commentary, Tesla updates, and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) announcements, where Musk co-leads advisory efforts with President-elect Trump, yet shows no slowdown. The narrow spread persists due to historical posting consistency—peaking over 1,400 in active periods like October 2024 primaries—balanced against variability from business demands or platform algorithm tweaks. Separation could arise from official DOGE workload intensification reducing availability, major SpaceX launches diverting focus, or explicit statements on posting habits.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of March 2026.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$3,083,716End Date
Apr 1, 2026Market Opened
Jan 24, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 1,320–1,399 posts for Elon Musk's X activity in March 2026, mirroring his recent monthly averages of roughly 40–45 posts per day amid sustained high-volume engagement. This positioning stems from post-2024 election surges in political commentary, Tesla updates, and Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) announcements, where Musk co-leads advisory efforts with President-elect Trump, yet shows no slowdown. The narrow spread persists due to historical posting consistency—peaking over 1,400 in active periods like October 2024 primaries—balanced against variability from business demands or platform algorithm tweaks. Separation could arise from official DOGE workload intensification reducing availability, major SpaceX launches diverting focus, or explicit statements on posting habits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions