President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting pace has averaged around 13 posts per day over the first four days of the March 24-31 period, totaling 52 as of March 28, fueling trader consensus for 80-119 total posts at combined implied probabilities exceeding 75%. This elevated volume stems from frequent updates on U.S.-Iran tensions, including warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing negotiations, oil flow disruptions, and military posturing, which have spiked activity compared to quieter periods. The tight race between 80-99 and 100-119 reflects uncertainty in the final three days' output, hinging on whether diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations—such as new airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or executive actions—sustain or accelerate the current rhythm, with historical precedents showing volatility during foreign policy crises.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated80-99 42%
100-119 34%
120-139 9%
60-79 7.8%
$230,862 Vol.
$230,862 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
8%
80-99
42%
100-119
34%
120-139
9%
140-159
2%
160-179
2%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
80-99 42%
100-119 34%
120-139 9%
60-79 7.8%
$230,862 Vol.
$230,862 Vol.
40-59
<1%
60-79
8%
80-99
42%
100-119
34%
120-139
9%
140-159
2%
160-179
2%
180-199
<1%
200+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Mar 21, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting pace has averaged around 13 posts per day over the first four days of the March 24-31 period, totaling 52 as of March 28, fueling trader consensus for 80-119 total posts at combined implied probabilities exceeding 75%. This elevated volume stems from frequent updates on U.S.-Iran tensions, including warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing negotiations, oil flow disruptions, and military posturing, which have spiked activity compared to quieter periods. The tight race between 80-99 and 100-119 reflects uncertainty in the final three days' output, hinging on whether diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations—such as new airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or executive actions—sustain or accelerate the current rhythm, with historical precedents showing volatility during foreign policy crises.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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