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Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

Market icon

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?

80-99 42%

100-119 34%

120-139 9%

60-79 7.8%

Polymarket

$230,862 Vol.

80-99 42%

100-119 34%

120-139 9%

60-79 7.8%

Polymarket

$230,862 Vol.

40-59

$46,696 Vol.

<1%

60-79

$22,696 Vol.

8%

80-99

$41,113 Vol.

42%

100-119

$28,470 Vol.

34%

120-139

$18,125 Vol.

9%

140-159

$13,531 Vol.

2%

160-179

$15,041 Vol.

2%

180-199

$12,599 Vol.

<1%

200+

$32,591 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting pace has averaged around 13 posts per day over the first four days of the March 24-31 period, totaling 52 as of March 28, fueling trader consensus for 80-119 total posts at combined implied probabilities exceeding 75%. This elevated volume stems from frequent updates on U.S.-Iran tensions, including warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing negotiations, oil flow disruptions, and military posturing, which have spiked activity compared to quieter periods. The tight race between 80-99 and 100-119 reflects uncertainty in the final three days' output, hinging on whether diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations—such as new airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or executive actions—sustain or accelerate the current rhythm, with historical precedents showing volatility during foreign policy crises.

President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting pace has averaged around 13 posts per day over the first four days of the March 24-31 period, totaling 52 as of March 28, fueling trader consensus for 80-119 total posts at combined implied probabilities exceeding 75%. This elevated volume stems from frequent updates on U.S.-Iran tensions, including warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing negotiations, oil flow disruptions, and military posturing, which have spiked activity compared to quieter periods. The tight race between 80-99 and 100-119 reflects uncertainty in the final three days' output, hinging on whether diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations—such as new airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or executive actions—sustain or accelerate the current rhythm, with historical precedents showing volatility during foreign policy crises.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between March 24, 12:00 PM ET and March 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting pace has averaged around 13 posts per day over the first four days of the March 24-31 period, totaling 52 as of March 28, fueling trader consensus for 80-119 total posts at combined implied probabilities exceeding 75%. This elevated volume stems from frequent updates on U.S.-Iran tensions, including warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing negotiations, oil flow disruptions, and military posturing, which have spiked activity compared to quieter periods. The tight race between 80-99 and 100-119 reflects uncertainty in the final three days' output, hinging on whether diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations—such as new airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or executive actions—sustain or accelerate the current rhythm, with historical precedents showing volatility during foreign policy crises.

President Donald Trump's Truth Social posting pace has averaged around 13 posts per day over the first four days of the March 24-31 period, totaling 52 as of March 28, fueling trader consensus for 80-119 total posts at combined implied probabilities exceeding 75%. This elevated volume stems from frequent updates on U.S.-Iran tensions, including warnings over the Strait of Hormuz, ongoing negotiations, oil flow disruptions, and military posturing, which have spiked activity compared to quieter periods. The tight race between 80-99 and 100-119 reflects uncertainty in the final three days' output, hinging on whether diplomatic breakthroughs or escalations—such as new airstrikes, ceasefire talks, or executive actions—sustain or accelerate the current rhythm, with historical precedents showing volatility during foreign policy crises.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80-99" at 42%, followed by "100-119" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?" has generated $230.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?" is "80-99" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100-119" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.