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Politics·Trump

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

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Politics·Trump

Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

$123,026 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$123,026 Vol.

Polymarket
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Pennsylvania

$82 Vol.

85%

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Nevada

$225 Vol.

91%

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Virginia

$0 Vol.

90%

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New Jersey

$590 Vol.

84%

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New York

$619 Vol.

81%

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Mississippi

$0 Vol.

76%

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New Hampshire

$11,031 Vol.

68%

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Wisconsin

$0 Vol.

62%

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Rhode Island

$0 Vol.

61%

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Alaska

$23,177 Vol.

60%

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Montana

$0 Vol.

60%

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Alabama

$0 Vol.

58%

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North Dakota

$0 Vol.

57%

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South Carolina

$0 Vol.

57%

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West Virginia

$0 Vol.

57%

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Maine

$0 Vol.

57%

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New Mexico

$0 Vol.

55%

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Utah

$0 Vol.

54%

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Oklahoma

$0 Vol.

53%

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Nebraska

$0 Vol.

71%

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California

$0 Vol.

51%

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Missouri

$0 Vol.

51%

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Illinois

$0 Vol.

50%

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South Dakota

$0 Vol.

50%

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Idaho

$0 Vol.

50%

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Connecticut

$0 Vol.

49%

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Kansas

$0 Vol.

47%

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Indiana

$0 Vol.

42%

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Vermont

$0 Vol.

28%

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Colorado

$0 Vol.

40%

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Oregon

$19,752 Vol.

36%

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Washington

$0 Vol.

25%

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Arizona

$43 Vol.

59%

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Hawaii

$0 Vol.

60%

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Massachusetts

$0 Vol.

51%

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Minnesota

$20 Vol.

63%

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Arkansas

$0 Vol.

49%

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Louisiana

$0 Vol.

50%

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Wyoming

$0 Vol.

49%

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's commitment to weekly domestic travel ahead of the 2026 midterms, announced by chief of staff Susie Wiles in January, drives trader consensus toward high implied probabilities for battleground states like Pennsylvania (94¢ Yes), Nevada (96¢), and Georgia, where recent visits to Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, and Kentucky signal a pattern of rally-style campaigning to boost GOP turnout in competitive Senate and House races. Frequent Florida trips (multiple in March for Mar-a-Lago stays and Miami events) and DC-area stops in Delaware (dignified transfers amid the Iran war) and anticipated Virginia/New Jersey visits underpin near-certain odds there (Virginia 98¢). The March 23 Memphis, Tennessee roundtable on the Safe Task Force and March 11 tri-state Ohio-Kentucky economy tour exemplify recent catalysts elevating swing-state pricing, with nine months remaining for further shifts via primaries or legislative deadlines.

President Trump's commitment to weekly domestic travel ahead of the 2026 midterms, announced by chief of staff Susie Wiles in January, drives trader consensus toward high implied probabilities for battleground states like Pennsylvania (94¢ Yes), Nevada (96¢), and Georgia, where recent visits to Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, and Kentucky signal a pattern of rally-style campaigning to boost GOP turnout in competitive Senate and House races. Frequent Florida trips (multiple in March for Mar-a-Lago stays and Miami events) and DC-area stops in Delaware (dignified transfers amid the Iran war) and anticipated Virginia/New Jersey visits underpin near-certain odds there (Virginia 98¢). The March 23 Memphis, Tennessee roundtable on the Safe Task Force and March 11 tri-state Ohio-Kentucky economy tour exemplify recent catalysts elevating swing-state pricing, with nine months remaining for further shifts via primaries or legislative deadlines.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's commitment to weekly domestic travel ahead of the 2026 midterms, announced by chief of staff Susie Wiles in January, drives trader consensus toward high implied probabilities for battleground states like Pennsylvania (94¢ Yes), Nevada (96¢), and Georgia, where recent visits to Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, and Kentucky signal a pattern of rally-style campaigning to boost GOP turnout in competitive Senate and House races. Frequent Florida trips (multiple in March for Mar-a-Lago stays and Miami events) and DC-area stops in Delaware (dignified transfers amid the Iran war) and anticipated Virginia/New Jersey visits underpin near-certain odds there (Virginia 98¢). The March 23 Memphis, Tennessee roundtable on the Safe Task Force and March 11 tri-state Ohio-Kentucky economy tour exemplify recent catalysts elevating swing-state pricing, with nine months remaining for further shifts via primaries or legislative deadlines.

President Trump's commitment to weekly domestic travel ahead of the 2026 midterms, announced by chief of staff Susie Wiles in January, drives trader consensus toward high implied probabilities for battleground states like Pennsylvania (94¢ Yes), Nevada (96¢), and Georgia, where recent visits to Iowa, Michigan, North Carolina, Ohio, and Kentucky signal a pattern of rally-style campaigning to boost GOP turnout in competitive Senate and House races. Frequent Florida trips (multiple in March for Mar-a-Lago stays and Miami events) and DC-area stops in Delaware (dignified transfers amid the Iran war) and anticipated Virginia/New Jersey visits underpin near-certain odds there (Virginia 98¢). The March 23 Memphis, Tennessee roundtable on the Safe Task Force and March 11 tri-state Ohio-Kentucky economy tour exemplify recent catalysts elevating swing-state pricing, with nine months remaining for further shifts via primaries or legislative deadlines.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 50+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Florida" at 100%, followed by "Iowa" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?" has generated $123K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?," browse the 50+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?" is "Florida" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iowa" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Which states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.