Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding position in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Taylor won 73.6% in 2024 amid the district's consistent GOP dominance, bolstered by $410,000 cash-on-hand as of late 2025 versus zero reported for challengers. The May 5 primaries pit Taylor against Bob Carr (R) and Jen Mazzuckelli versus Todd Wilson (D), but no polling or recent developments in the past 30 days signal shifts. A GOP primary upset, Taylor scandal, or national Democratic wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$18,651 Vol.
$18,651 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
92%
民主党
7%
$18,651 Vol.
$18,651 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
共和党
$0 Vol.
92%
民主党
$18,651 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding position in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Taylor won 73.6% in 2024 amid the district's consistent GOP dominance, bolstered by $410,000 cash-on-hand as of late 2025 versus zero reported for challengers. The May 5 primaries pit Taylor against Bob Carr (R) and Jen Mazzuckelli versus Todd Wilson (D), but no polling or recent developments in the past 30 days signal shifts. A GOP primary upset, Taylor scandal, or national Democratic wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
音量
$18,651終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding position in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Taylor won 73.6% in 2024 amid the district's consistent GOP dominance, bolstered by $410,000 cash-on-hand as of late 2025 versus zero reported for challengers. The May 5 primaries pit Taylor against Bob Carr (R) and Jen Mazzuckelli versus Todd Wilson (D), but no polling or recent developments in the past 30 days signal shifts. A GOP primary upset, Taylor scandal, or national Democratic wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$18,651終了日
Nov 3, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican David Taylor's commanding position in Ohio's 2nd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, drives trader consensus at 91.5% for the Republican Party in the November 3 general election. Taylor won 73.6% in 2024 amid the district's consistent GOP dominance, bolstered by $410,000 cash-on-hand as of late 2025 versus zero reported for challengers. The May 5 primaries pit Taylor against Bob Carr (R) and Jen Mazzuckelli versus Todd Wilson (D), but no polling or recent developments in the past 30 days signal shifts. A GOP primary upset, Taylor scandal, or national Democratic wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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