Long-serving Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s May 2026 reelection announcement has solidified trader consensus for a party hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent voter support and strong name recognition. Her fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers Damjan DeNoble and Andrew Rice, combined with limited resources for Republican contenders Rafael Irizarry and Christopher Lancia ahead of the August 11 primaries, has kept the implied probability for Democrats above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected Democratic primary upset remain the main scenarios that could realistically narrow this margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
92%
共和党
8%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$579 Vol.
92%
共和党
$2,015 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s May 2026 reelection announcement has solidified trader consensus for a party hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent voter support and strong name recognition. Her fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers Damjan DeNoble and Andrew Rice, combined with limited resources for Republican contenders Rafael Irizarry and Christopher Lancia ahead of the August 11 primaries, has kept the implied probability for Democrats above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected Democratic primary upset remain the main scenarios that could realistically narrow this margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
音量
$2,594終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Long-serving Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s May 2026 reelection announcement has solidified trader consensus for a party hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent voter support and strong name recognition. Her fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers Damjan DeNoble and Andrew Rice, combined with limited resources for Republican contenders Rafael Irizarry and Christopher Lancia ahead of the August 11 primaries, has kept the implied probability for Democrats above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected Democratic primary upset remain the main scenarios that could realistically narrow this margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$2,594終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Long-serving Democratic incumbent Rosa DeLauro’s May 2026 reelection announcement has solidified trader consensus for a party hold in Connecticut’s 3rd congressional district. The seat features a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and delivered DeLauro 58.9 percent of the vote in 2024, reflecting consistent voter support and strong name recognition. Her fundraising edge over Democratic primary challengers Damjan DeNoble and Andrew Rice, combined with limited resources for Republican contenders Rafael Irizarry and Christopher Lancia ahead of the August 11 primaries, has kept the implied probability for Democrats above 90 percent. A national midterm wave favoring Republicans or an unexpected Democratic primary upset remain the main scenarios that could realistically narrow this margin before the November 3 general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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