Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a tighter contest in Florida's 14th district following 2026 redistricting that shifted the seat's partisan voting index toward Republicans by several points. Both parties have active primaries scheduled for August 18, with Castor drawing a challenger on the Democratic side and multiple Republican contenders advancing. Recent ratings from nonpartisan analysts describe the general election matchup as competitive or leaning Republican, reflecting the altered electoral math and national midterm dynamics. Traders assign Democrats a narrow edge, consistent with the incumbent's established record in the Tampa-area district and the absence of decisive polling shifts to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,960 Vol.
$19,960 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
55%
共和党
44%
$19,960 Vol.
$19,960 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$8,578 Vol.
55%
共和党
$11,383 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a tighter contest in Florida's 14th district following 2026 redistricting that shifted the seat's partisan voting index toward Republicans by several points. Both parties have active primaries scheduled for August 18, with Castor drawing a challenger on the Democratic side and multiple Republican contenders advancing. Recent ratings from nonpartisan analysts describe the general election matchup as competitive or leaning Republican, reflecting the altered electoral math and national midterm dynamics. Traders assign Democrats a narrow edge, consistent with the incumbent's established record in the Tampa-area district and the absence of decisive polling shifts to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
音量
$19,960終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a tighter contest in Florida's 14th district following 2026 redistricting that shifted the seat's partisan voting index toward Republicans by several points. Both parties have active primaries scheduled for August 18, with Castor drawing a challenger on the Democratic side and multiple Republican contenders advancing. Recent ratings from nonpartisan analysts describe the general election matchup as competitive or leaning Republican, reflecting the altered electoral math and national midterm dynamics. Traders assign Democrats a narrow edge, consistent with the incumbent's established record in the Tampa-area district and the absence of decisive polling shifts to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$19,960終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces a tighter contest in Florida's 14th district following 2026 redistricting that shifted the seat's partisan voting index toward Republicans by several points. Both parties have active primaries scheduled for August 18, with Castor drawing a challenger on the Democratic side and multiple Republican contenders advancing. Recent ratings from nonpartisan analysts describe the general election matchup as competitive or leaning Republican, reflecting the altered electoral math and national midterm dynamics. Traders assign Democrats a narrow edge, consistent with the incumbent's established record in the Tampa-area district and the absence of decisive polling shifts to date.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問